Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.020 to 0.048. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	212	212
0.030	1,000	1,212
0.038	400	1,612
0.070	13	1,625
0.110	324	1,949
0.199	31	1,980
0.210	1,293	3,273
0.300	1,000	4,273
0.310	1,000	5,273
0.320	1,000	6,273
0.390	1,500	7,773
0.400	200	7,973

Spread0.011Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	40	40
0.017	13	53
0.016	6	59
0.015	23	82
0.014	64	147
0.013	99	246
0.009	31	277
0.008	540	817
0.007	900	1,717
0.006	333	2,050
0.003	538	2,588
0.002	1,071	3,659

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	40	40
0.983	13	53
0.984	6	59
0.985	23	82
0.986	64	147
0.987	99	246
0.991	31	277
0.992	540	817
0.993	900	1,717
0.994	333	2,050
0.997	538	2,588
0.998	1,071	3,659

Spread0.011Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	212	212
0.970	1,000	1,212
0.962	400	1,612
0.930	13	1,625
0.890	324	1,949
0.801	31	1,980
0.790	1,293	3,273
0.700	1,000	4,273
0.690	1,000	5,273
0.680	1,000	6,273
0.610	1,500	7,773
0.600	200	7,973

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
whumpa	Yes	2,480.41
TheReturnOfDarthMaul	Yes	1,537.99
strategy1.2	Yes	1,292.94
BlazeAxel	Yes	759.4
CompulsiveGambler	Yes	726.4
ImJustKen	Yes	555.02
2B9S	Yes	407.47
Flaner	Yes	304.1
this15cleverboy	Yes	274.73
Bond2026	Yes	220.59
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	211.64
Lavincey	Yes	122.75
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	108.24
tarifffe	Yes	104.99
BetaShrimp	Yes	82.39
LBZbot2	Yes	60
welldone666	Yes	50
troublemake	Yes	39
1127993	Yes	35
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	31.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:21:40	BUY	No	0.982	12	$11.32
21:04:37	SELL	No	0.975	12	$11.70
02:43:03	BUY	No	0.984	1	$1.01
02:43:01	BUY	No	0.9683501529	52	$50.66
02:10:31	BUY	Yes	0.04	26	$1.04
17:41:46	BUY	Yes	0.048	5	$0.24
17:40:59	BUY	Yes	0.0474562555	82	$3.91
18:51:10	SELL	Yes	0.033	5	$0.15
01:59:57	SELL	Yes	0.012	38	$0.45
01:59:51	SELL	Yes	0.012	40	$0.48
01:59:45	SELL	Yes	0.012	40	$0.48
01:59:38	SELL	Yes	0.012	40	$0.48
01:59:30	SELL	Yes	0.0123243068	123	$1.52
17:46:55	SELL	No	0.962	0	$0.17
15:43:52	SELL	Yes	0.018	199	$3.58
02:33:08	SELL	Yes	0.018	7	$0.13
20:04:24	SELL	Yes	0.018	30	$0.54
03:00:58	SELL	No	0.952	7	$6.43
05:56:53	SELL	Yes	0.047865	40	$1.91
01:08:18	SELL	No	0.957	0	$0.11
08:56:34	SELL	Yes	0.05	10	$0.50
08:53:04	SELL	No	0.93	7	$6.61
08:17:18	BUY	No	0.9499999991	158	$150.00
18:17:07	BUY	No	0.93	185	$172.34
13:00:07	SELL	No	0.9202102386	476	$437.70