1127993
0xec4e1b0070bd99e2e6ff2f9984851eb7d417dbeb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.770 | $11.55 | +$1.05 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.055 | $1.93 | −$20.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.19at 0.770Giants vs. Broncos
- +$0.00at 0.760Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-0.05at 0.988Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$-47.00at 0.470Lakers vs. Heat
- +$-5.0kat 0.526Solana Up or Down - January 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 02:48 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 01-28 02:16 | Solana Up or Down - January 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.4k |
| 01-27 07:00 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.8k |
| 01-27 03:10 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.8k |
| 10-17 09:12 | Giants vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 12-04 05:56 | Lakers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 12-04 05:46 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.987 | $50.94 |
| 12-04 05:45 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $51.00 |