BlazeAxel
0xb5ff4b5a5f68b7ba5ce420b61f7b025f3da4bb6c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 392
- Open portfolio
- $51.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded392
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.82at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 2?
- +$370.70at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 7?
- +$330.43at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 16?
- +$329.61at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 16?
- +$302.48at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or below on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 03:29 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.18 |
| 06-15 16:10 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.974 | $9.91 |
| 06-13 22:25 | Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $6.85 |
| 06-13 22:11 | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 05-25 13:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.13 |
| 05-24 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on May 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 05-16 00:46 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 05-15 08:09 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.82792 | $82.79 |
| 05-14 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 05-13 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-13 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.89 |
| 05-13 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on May 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 05-12 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 05-12 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.99775 | $39.91 |
| 05-12 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |