PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

troublemake

0xf9240714781ae41cc8625654bb00b47b3e8b435b

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$162.7k
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$548.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-24 09:33Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.77$0.86
02-23 18:46Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.46$2.22
02-23 11:58Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?SELL0.011$2.20
02-22 14:07Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.76$15.20
02-22 05:08Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.887$145.58
02-22 00:56Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.47$0.52
02-22 00:29Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.49$1.71
02-20 15:49Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?BUY0.3$6.00
02-20 15:02Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?BUY0.52$52.00
02-20 09:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?BUY0.48$9.60
02-19 15:20OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.46$13.80
02-19 09:19Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?BUY0.36$2.56
02-19 03:13Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?SELL0.030809$0.62
02-19 02:25Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?SELL0.48$27.12
02-18 16:56Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.059$1.18