Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.018. Range 0.018 to 0.024. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	120	120
0.028	1,080	1,200
0.029	1,936	3,136
0.030	20	3,156
0.032	3,223	6,379
0.033	82	6,461
0.034	207	6,668
0.035	207	6,875
0.037	420	7,296
0.038	416	7,712
0.039	894	8,606
0.040	20	8,626

Spread0.010Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	24	24
0.014	92	116
0.012	40	156
0.011	321	477
0.010	687	1,164
0.009	2,117	3,281
0.007	1,082	4,363
0.005	20	4,383
0.004	1,000	5,383
0.003	2,003	7,385
0.002	15,403	22,788
0.001	65,223	88,011

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	24	24
0.986	92	116
0.988	40	156
0.989	321	477
0.990	687	1,164
0.991	2,117	3,281
0.993	1,082	4,363
0.995	20	4,383
0.996	1,000	5,383
0.997	2,003	7,385
0.998	15,403	22,788
0.999	65,223	88,011

Spread0.010Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	120	120
0.972	1,080	1,200
0.971	1,936	3,136
0.970	20	3,156
0.968	3,223	6,379
0.967	82	6,461
0.966	207	6,668
0.965	207	6,875
0.963	420	7,296
0.962	416	7,712
0.961	894	8,606
0.960	20	8,626

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Joebama	Yes	2,409.49
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	731.31
Khameneii	Yes	251
ma99	Yes	100
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	89.95
Numitus1994	Yes	82.01
thecaricature	Yes	73.72
hoshe	Yes	62.5
krestx	Yes	58.9
i-race	Yes	40.97
whumpa	Yes	38.37
sadfsafd	Yes	33.99
Dr.PNL	Yes	33.34
explorer221	Yes	30
Babs1337	Yes	30
akunai	Yes	26.35
JakeBeez	Yes	20
0x0bd8…6eef	Yes	13
0x44eb…5d76	Yes	13
0x88fd…e008	Yes	13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:14:22	BUY	No	0.983	12	$11.62
17:09:45	BUY	Yes	0.029	40	$1.16
02:20:13	BUY	Yes	0.018	5	$0.09
17:47:14	SELL	No	0.975	40	$39.00
17:40:32	SELL	No	0.975	20	$19.50
17:39:59	SELL	No	0.975	20	$19.50
17:39:58	SELL	No	0.975	1	$0.49
17:39:58	SELL	No	0.9806001173	1,177	$1153.70
17:39:58	BUY	Yes	0.025	24	$0.60
21:02:23	SELL	No	0.981	0	$0.21
17:33:02	BUY	Yes	0.02	100	$2.00
18:10:54	SELL	No	0.979	5	$4.89
18:10:49	SELL	Yes	0.016	20	$0.32
18:09:31	BUY	No	0.981106443	64	$62.58
22:54:14	SELL	No	0.978	49	$47.92
23:40:18	SELL	No	0.978	40	$39.12
20:49:40	SELL	No	0.978	74	$72.37
13:50:25	SELL	No	0.978	45	$44.01
10:47:51	SELL	No	0.978	74	$72.37
06:09:58	SELL	No	0.9787142857	14	$13.70
06:09:47	SELL	No	0.978	20	$19.56
06:08:58	SELL	No	0.979	100	$97.90
04:02:24	BUY	No	0.981	20	$19.62
04:02:24	SELL	Yes	0.02	20	$0.40
15:37:49	SELL	No	0.977	25	$24.43