Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.023. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.018 to 0.032. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	111	111
0.030	998	1,109
0.031	22	1,131
0.033	82	1,213
0.037	1,120	2,333
0.038	100	2,433
0.040	121	2,554
0.041	539	3,093
0.042	6	3,099
0.044	3	3,102
0.051	450	3,552
0.052	2,000	5,552

Spread0.012Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	40	40
0.016	820	860
0.015	970	1,830
0.012	20	1,850
0.009	999	2,849
0.008	3,232	6,081
0.007	182	6,263
0.005	750	7,013
0.004	2,251	9,264
0.003	5,083	14,346
0.002	11,945	26,291
0.001	34,352	60,643

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	40	40
0.984	820	860
0.985	970	1,830
0.988	20	1,850
0.991	999	2,849
0.992	3,232	6,081
0.993	182	6,263
0.995	750	7,013
0.996	2,251	9,264
0.997	5,083	14,346
0.998	11,945	26,291
0.999	34,352	60,643

Spread0.012Mid0.977

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	111	111
0.970	998	1,109
0.969	22	1,131
0.967	82	1,213
0.963	1,120	2,333
0.962	100	2,433
0.960	121	2,554
0.959	539	3,093
0.958	6	3,099
0.956	3	3,102
0.949	450	3,552
0.948	2,000	5,552

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Joebama	Yes	2,409.49
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	731.31
Khameneii	Yes	251
0x5533…51ba	Yes	111
thecaricature	Yes	100
ma99	Yes	100
AJSV	Yes	84.93
Numitus1994	Yes	82.01
hoshe	Yes	62.5
krestx	Yes	58.9
i-race	Yes	40.97
whumpa	Yes	38.37
sadfsafd	Yes	33.99
Dr.PNL	Yes	33.34
explorer221	Yes	30
Babs1337	Yes	30
akunai	Yes	26.35
JakeBeez	Yes	20
0x0bd8…6eef	Yes	13
0x44eb…5d76	Yes	13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:00:19	SELL	No	0.983	125	$122.88
19:00:19	BUY	No	0.983	59	$57.83
14:40:25	SELL	No	0.982	5	$5.05
16:47:22	SELL	Yes	0.016	15	$0.24
16:44:57	SELL	Yes	0.016	50	$0.80
16:37:22	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.85
16:37:15	SELL	Yes	0.016	30	$0.48
16:37:09	SELL	Yes	0.017	20	$0.34
16:30:24	BUY	No	0.9762843157	746	$727.97
11:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.027	20	$0.54
11:50:48	BUY	No	0.968	40	$38.72
11:20:54	BUY	Yes	0.034	20	$0.68
09:09:40	SELL	Yes	0.0240927601	431	$10.39
22:49:19	BUY	No	0.975	14	$13.69
20:07:21	SELL	No	0.968	20	$19.36
19:57:33	SELL	No	0.968	40	$38.72
19:57:22	SELL	No	0.9688587853	40	$38.76
19:57:15	SELL	No	0.968	20	$19.36
19:57:09	SELL	No	0.969	40	$38.76
19:51:13	SELL	No	0.97085725	40	$38.83
19:51:06	BUY	Yes	0.0298577651	241	$7.20
17:05:36	SELL	Yes	0.0245	10	$0.24
17:05:33	SELL	Yes	0.026	20	$0.52
19:14:27	BUY	No	0.967	62	$60.04
18:34:19	BUY	No	0.964	26	$25.30