PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hoshe

0xd4938e1b684d7e4d0ba1e838326c2d5e609e205a

Realised P&L
$-34.73
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$412.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6960.915$65.72+$15.72
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5420.305$56.26$43.74
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8080.786$48.66$1.34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.595$28.33+$8.33
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? · No0.7800.920$23.59+$3.59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1640.162$19.74$0.26
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1700.110$19.41$10.59
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3000.245$16.33$3.67
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? · No0.6000.930$15.50+$5.50
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? · No0.6450.935$14.49+$4.49
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.6400.770$12.03+$2.03
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · No0.7300.875$11.99+$1.99
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? · No0.8400.997$11.86+$1.86
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · No0.7750.912$11.77+$1.77
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · No0.7700.900$11.69+$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.519$13.84
09-05 17:43Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.56$240.79
09-05 17:35Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.034$2.00
09-05 17:34Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?SELL0.74$16.39
09-05 17:34Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?SELL0.821$16.42
09-05 17:34Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?SELL0.84$24.91
07-28 05:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.94$32.98
07-24 19:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-23 20:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.5699999926$20.00
07-20 21:34Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
07-20 21:33Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1699999955$30.00
07-20 21:23Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.8081927767$50.00
07-19 21:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.915$308.86
07-19 17:38Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5924999999$200.00
05-12 09:45Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.5299999995$200.00