hoshe
0xd4938e1b684d7e4d0ba1e838326c2d5e609e205a
- Realised P&L
- $-34.73
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $412.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.33at 0.150Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$112.86at 0.210US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$103.47at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$44.78at 0.690US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$22.46at 0.690Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.519 | $13.84 |
| 09-05 17:43 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $240.79 |
| 09-05 17:35 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 17:34 | Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $16.39 |
| 09-05 17:34 | Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.821 | $16.42 |
| 09-05 17:34 | Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $24.91 |
| 07-28 05:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $32.98 |
| 07-24 19:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 20:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 21:34 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 21:33 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1699999955 | $30.00 |
| 07-20 21:23 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8081927767 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.915 | $308.86 |
| 07-19 17:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999999 | $200.00 |
| 05-12 09:45 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $200.00 |