i-race
0x39258637aad816d9e22a66da1fca2b6623a1c094
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $6.95M
- Markets traded
- 971
- Open portfolio
- $191.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded971
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.7kat 0.003Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$17.3kat 0.005Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$16.3kat 0.005Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$14.8kat 0.005Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$11.4kat 0.005Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 10:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.59 |
| 04-28 09:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.28 |
| 04-28 09:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.17 |
| 04-27 09:07 | Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999823 | $7.58 |
| 04-25 21:33 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.05 |
| 04-25 09:23 | Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.79 |
| 04-25 04:16 | Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.16 |
| 04-24 13:35 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999984 | $21.06 |
| 04-24 10:22 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.9499999896 | $45.84 |
| 04-23 20:11 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.942999994 | $45.89 |
| 04-23 19:58 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9429999986 | $32.64 |
| 04-20 16:27 | Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.07 |
| 04-20 16:26 | Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9917416756 | $11.07 |
| 04-19 12:20 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.83 |
| 04-17 17:19 | Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2462014631 | $7.00 |