Khameneii
0x0a21df72ef080e0e8134e5256fd52b8b6381c97c
- Realised P&L
- $55.29
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $5.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.022 | $5.65 | −$44.35 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.99 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$243.98 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$264.38at 0.220Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$129.13at 0.470Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$102.45at 0.286Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?
- +$0.00at 0.230Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.98at 0.510US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 08:20 | Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | SELL | 0.012 | $30.77 |
| 02-28 22:04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $246.28 |
| 01-25 11:34 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $70.00 |
| 01-25 11:04 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0275906069 | $150.00 |
| 01-25 11:04 | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.014109589 | $50.00 |
| 01-25 10:50 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0249467491 | $24.00 |
| 01-25 10:50 | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999994 | $25.00 |
| 01-25 10:49 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $49.01 |
| 01-25 10:45 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999994 | $49.99 |
| 01-17 17:24 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $50.00 |
| 01-13 18:19 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January? | SELL | 0.58 | $202.44 |
| 01-13 18:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January? | SELL | 0.6449279951 | $401.26 |
| 01-07 21:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999964 | $67.16 |
| 01-07 21:59 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.1091452206 | $42.75 |
| 01-07 21:56 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.127652118 | $50.00 |