PolyBot

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Traders

Khameneii

0x0a21df72ef080e0e8134e5256fd52b8b6381c97c

Realised P&L
$55.29
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$5.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1990.022$5.65$44.35
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$74.99
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$243.98
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-03 08:20Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?SELL0.012$30.77
02-28 22:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.988$246.28
01-25 11:34US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.032$70.00
01-25 11:04US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.0275906069$150.00
01-25 11:04US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?BUY0.014109589$50.00
01-25 10:50US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.0249467491$24.00
01-25 10:50US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?BUY0.0149999994$25.00
01-25 10:49US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.5$49.01
01-25 10:45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.5099999994$49.99
01-17 17:24Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.23$50.00
01-13 18:19Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?SELL0.58$202.44
01-13 18:11Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?SELL0.6449279951$401.26
01-07 21:59Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.4699999964$67.16
01-07 21:59Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?SELL0.1091452206$42.75
01-07 21:56Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?BUY0.127652118$50.00