PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

krestx

0x8f7621d4c7369e8204207f7bbe5e847712a314d0

Realised P&L
$-719.42
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$105.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3? · No0.7031.000$41.80+$12.41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.0600.920$19.76+$18.47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3? · No0.7901.000$15.90+$3.34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 3? · No0.8401.000$14.90+$2.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4? · Yes0.9801.000$5.09+$0.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.795$5.09+$0.10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1700.045$2.65$7.36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.2300.038$0.38$1.88
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.4600.026$0.13$2.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$3.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 4? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$4.21
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.5270.000$0.00$7.93
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-05 07:50Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL0.031$1.35
03-05 07:20Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY0.079$0.29
03-05 06:45Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY0.0594545455$0.65
03-05 05:45Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY0.0666544944$3.56
03-05 05:40Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL0.049$2.42
03-05 05:23Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL0.0303293808$0.46
03-05 05:18Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY0.0560811388$1.58
03-05 03:44Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY0.0584981744$2.88
03-05 02:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?BUY0.0280131579$0.85
03-05 02:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?SELL0.969$9.98
03-05 01:14Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY0.17$2.21
03-05 00:49Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL0.0214851064$2.22
03-05 00:44Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY0.0312174081$3.23
03-04 06:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY0.13$4.25
03-04 05:00Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?SELL0.4$5.16