sadfsafd
0xf8f2c114d378811f99044470c289a4cf52e996cf
- Realised P&L
- $-415.74
- Volume
- $46.6k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $2.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.00at 0.260US bank failure by March 31?
- +$62.00at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?
- +$47.00at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
- +$34.00at 0.320Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$25.02at 0.300Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 09:28 | Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.785 | $1.81 |
| 06-13 09:28 | Another Elon baby by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.93 |
| 06-13 09:27 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.91 |
| 06-13 09:27 | Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 06-13 09:27 | Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-13 09:27 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0310896161 | $4.07 |
| 06-13 09:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.074 | $5.98 |
| 06-13 09:26 | Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.89 |
| 06-13 09:26 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | SELL | 0.0125890328 | $1.46 |
| 06-13 09:26 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.17 |
| 06-13 09:26 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0640854646 | $1.98 |
| 06-13 09:26 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.08 |
| 06-13 09:26 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 09:25 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.0347038 | $3.47 |
| 06-13 09:25 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.34 |