PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.72. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.74. Range 0.69 to 0.80. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.731,6431,643
0.74101,865103,509
0.7520,967124,476
0.7690124,566
0.77111124,677
0.791,100125,777
0.8310125,787
0.84400126,187
0.851,000127,187
0.874,000131,187
0.895,909137,096
0.917,222144,319

Spread0.02Mid0.72

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.71728728
0.702,4403,168
0.691,4894,657
0.681,2505,907
0.671,1057,012
0.641,6008,612
0.63318,643
0.621008,743
0.612008,943
0.60168,959
0.584009,359
0.541,00010,359

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.29728728
0.302,4403,168
0.311,4894,657
0.321,2505,907
0.331,1057,012
0.361,6008,612
0.37318,643
0.381008,743
0.392008,943
0.40168,959
0.424009,359
0.461,00010,359

Spread0.02Mid0.28

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.271,6431,643
0.26101,865103,509
0.2520,967124,476
0.2490124,566
0.23111124,677
0.211,100125,777
0.1710125,787
0.16400126,187
0.151,000127,187
0.134,000131,187
0.115,909137,096
0.097,222144,319

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
simplemanYes26,215.11
Z6rP9nX3Vq8K1mYes5,878.57
balthazarYes3,200.62
HolyMoses7Yes3,169.99
Martinus-Yes3,156.01
browneYes3,079.28
gaven-willwinYes2,385.38
GoldmanSachsYes2,110.42
mewmew1Yes2,009.46
wurenzhixiaoYes799.97
AnonTetYes500
Elias.ThornwellYes499.9
xtxpleasecallmeYes378.82
UntitledUser1Yes240
4-testfollower-hm7Yes219.97
Alt-QQYes189
Specialist200303Yes162.35
MekanorYes135.14
vlospaYes113
ykh1Yes112.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:25:27BUYYes0.727$5.04
07:40:01SELLYes0.715$3.55
06:42:43BUYNo0.289999992928$8.19
17:06:33SELLYes0.7123$15.97
14:38:04BUYYes0.725$3.60
12:35:57BUYNo0.2950$14.50
08:30:12SELLYes0.7110$7.10
08:16:49BUYNo0.2899999991294$85.38
08:16:22BUYNo0.2950$14.50
08:16:22BUYNo0.29600$174.00
08:15:58BUYYes0.7255$39.60
06:53:42BUYNo0.2899999996610$176.81
06:53:39BUYNo0.28999997788$2.22
06:53:39BUYNo0.2950$14.50
06:53:39BUYNo0.28130$36.40
02:23:57BUYNo0.282145116219$5.37
01:43:10SELLYes0.7210$7.20
23:59:36BUYYes0.7250$36.00
23:59:24SELLNo0.2850$14.00
23:59:00SELLYes0.715$3.22
23:58:58BUYYes0.719999998186$62.05
23:58:58BUYYes0.7199999994318$229.22
23:58:58SELLNo0.28241$67.41
23:58:58BUYYes0.7199999993324$233.60
23:58:58BUYYes0.71755$536.05