Mekanor
0x5a8b7925fdbe2682df0a2251e1f5bc2db127a53e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $36.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $75.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.600 | $53.29 | +$3.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? · Up | 0.782 | 0.855 | $21.86 | +$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.57at 0.810Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 17?
- +$108.02at 0.028Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?
- +$104.50at 0.164Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
- +$96.80at 0.608Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
- +$92.86at 0.350U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.782178195 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999972 | $220.00 |
| 09-15 18:12 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.562964202 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 21:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $304.70 |
| 08-12 21:27 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999989 | $209.48 |
| 06-26 20:56 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 06-25 13:19 | Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.0469999914 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.00 |
| 06-24 23:35 | Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.86 |
| 06-24 23:34 | Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 3 Brazil? | SELL | 0.016 | $3.64 |