Z6rP9nX3Vq8K1m
0x1f7a0446fc35e1a154ae469120d73a9fcdb21ae3
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $83.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $40.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.705 | $36.2k | −$3.9k |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes | 0.748 | 0.720 | $4.2k | −$165.81 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.305 | $1.52 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.910Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-11.16at 0.656Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.2k |
| 10-28 23:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.8k |
| 10-28 02:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.962 | $114.19 |
| 10-28 02:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.962 | $3.0k |
| 10-28 01:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.961 | $314.44 |
| 10-27 11:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.926 | $17.47 |
| 10-27 09:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.939 | $290.49 |
| 10-27 09:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.8k |
| 10-26 14:41 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.63 |
| 10-26 14:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.941 | $141.15 |
| 10-26 14:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.944 | $2.5k |
| 10-26 13:50 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.16 |
| 10-26 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $46.76 |
| 10-26 08:39 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.8179895456 | $20.34 |
| 10-26 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $0.74 |