PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gaven-willwin

0xfbe66593e49c4e7a7180a2582f041158bfb800f8

Realised P&L
$-83.3k
Volume
$3.57M
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$158.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4720.405$118.6k$19.5k
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.6130.410$34.4k$17.0k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.7600.425$5.5k$4.4k
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.6600.435$299.28$154.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.3320.000$0.00$98.8k
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8130.000$0.00$210.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$13.9k
07-30 06:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$5.9k
07-30 06:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$11.3k
07-30 06:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$8.9k
07-30 06:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$14.3k
07-30 06:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$11.7k
07-30 06:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$11.7k
07-28 10:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7615507246$105.09
07-28 10:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7597736469$10.1k
07-25 10:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7460496776$10.0k
07-25 05:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7397855085$19.7k
07-23 11:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.762$358.14
07-23 11:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.762$2.4k
07-23 11:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7613987745$5.3k
07-23 11:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.761842607$15.9k