Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.017 to 0.030. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	435	435
0.018	5	440
0.022	154	594
0.023	693	1,287
0.027	20	1,307
0.029	100	1,407
0.030	49	1,456
0.031	1,369	2,825
0.032	198	3,023
0.033	200	3,223
0.034	221	3,444
0.035	1,100	4,544

Spread0.001Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	2,126	2,126
0.015	800	2,926
0.014	2,002	4,928
0.013	692	5,621
0.012	1,280	6,900
0.011	6,743	13,643
0.010	3,605	17,248
0.009	2,667	19,915
0.008	1,250	21,165
0.007	1,479	22,643
0.006	5,667	28,310
0.005	324,020	352,330

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	2,126	2,126
0.985	800	2,926
0.986	2,002	4,928
0.987	692	5,621
0.988	1,280	6,900
0.989	6,743	13,643
0.990	3,605	17,248
0.991	2,667	19,915
0.992	1,250	21,165
0.993	1,479	22,643
0.994	5,667	28,310
0.995	324,020	352,330

Spread0.001Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	435	435
0.982	5	440
0.978	154	594
0.977	693	1,287
0.973	20	1,307
0.971	100	1,407
0.970	49	1,456
0.969	1,369	2,825
0.968	198	3,023
0.967	200	3,223
0.966	221	3,444
0.965	1,100	4,544

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Happydog2026	Yes	3,207.29
Copezilla	Yes	2,462.97
BabyGroot	Yes	2,074.04
Donkov	Yes	1,499.96
feishen	Yes	1,186.21
planktonXD	Yes	558.01
v1notlost	Yes	439.54
0x8B46696e3dff948b89d677a788180c2c6292e83C-1767643095974	Yes	294.12
thecaricature	Yes	249.99
confirmit	Yes	203.8
Majas	Yes	200
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	200
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b	Yes	199.99
Haradwaith	Yes	169
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	119
0xee67…67a6	Yes	111.01
YaMaGo4i	Yes	100
thisjustdoesntfeelright	Yes	80.16
crossFiter	Yes	63
AJSV	Yes	59.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:50:59	SELL	No	0.983	13	$13.00
18:48:21	SELL	No	0.983	109	$107.15
14:43:56	SELL	Yes	0.016	964	$15.42
12:58:42	BUY	No	0.984	10	$9.88
11:31:03	SELL	Yes	0.017	67	$1.13
11:30:27	SELL	Yes	0.017	34	$0.57
05:46:53	BUY	No	0.975	13	$12.48
05:46:53	BUY	No	0.9838554472	134	$131.70
02:58:27	BUY	No	0.9749999651	10	$9.79
19:26:39	SELL	Yes	0.025	17	$0.43
14:37:48	SELL	No	0.97	0	$0.11
13:06:48	BUY	No	0.985	20	$19.81
13:06:48	BUY	No	0.9848979644	196	$193.05
13:06:47	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.45
13:06:47	BUY	No	0.985	20	$19.82
13:06:47	BUY	No	0.9845076771	20	$19.88
13:06:47	BUY	No	0.984	20	$19.74
11:54:47	SELL	Yes	0.015	4	$0.05
11:50:05	BUY	No	0.97	46	$45.00
11:49:48	SELL	Yes	0.03	30	$0.90
11:49:45	SELL	No	0.968	1	$0.77
11:49:45	SELL	No	0.968	1	$0.77
11:49:44	SELL	No	0.968	0	$0.06
11:49:42	SELL	No	0.968	0	$0.06
11:49:41	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.89