0x8B46696e3dff948b89d677a788180c2c6292e83C-1767643095974
0x8b46696e3dff948b89d677a788180c2c6292e83c
- Realised P&L
- $-659.24
- Volume
- $84.3k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $303.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.78at 0.306Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$192.85at 0.244Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$134.48at 0.497Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
- +$100.73at 0.174Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$96.39at 0.577Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 07:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999915 | $105.00 |
| 09-27 07:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:11 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0340851544 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:10 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 07:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5719999831 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 07:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 07:06 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 07:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 07:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 07:04 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:01 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 10:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |