PolyBot

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Traders

0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b

0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b

Realised P&L
$171.4k
Volume
$26.94M
Markets traded
1,028
Open portfolio
$466.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,028
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9660.974$175.23+$1.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.9820.986$98.55+$0.35
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? · No0.8060.758$80.29$5.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1700.575$57.49+$40.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1290.006$26.00$491.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.004$16.80$608.69
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1700.085$6.18$6.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1700.037$3.75$13.25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1700.021$2.15$14.85
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC? · Yes0.0370.005$0.22$1.23
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? · Yes0.0370.002$0.03$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 5? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$2.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$3.95
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 6? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 04:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.981$57.52
09-18 04:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$12.00
09-18 04:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$1000.00
09-17 18:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$1.0k
09-17 12:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.53$424.00
09-16 19:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$6.00
09-16 19:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$270.66
09-16 19:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$1.40
09-16 19:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$1.40
09-16 19:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$1.40
09-16 19:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.5$11.37
09-16 19:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$1.40
09-16 19:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$329.64
09-15 21:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.30
09-15 21:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.009$2.70