0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b
- Realised P&L
- $171.4k
- Volume
- $26.94M
- Markets traded
- 1,028
- Open portfolio
- $466.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.2kat 0.004Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$155.7kat 0.013Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$130.3kat 0.010Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$106.0kat 0.060Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$85.4kat 0.029Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.981 | $57.52 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $12.00 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $1000.00 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 12:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.53 | $424.00 |
| 09-16 19:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $270.66 |
| 09-16 19:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 19:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.37 |
| 09-16 19:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 19:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $329.64 |
| 09-15 21:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-15 21:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.70 |