PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.979. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.974. Range 0.961 to 0.985. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9906262
0.9971779
0.998306385
0.9992,4642,848

Spread0.021Mid0.980

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9692020
0.968258278
0.96624302
0.96030332
0.95220352
0.95161413
0.950429842
0.94124866
0.9402,2203,085
0.9302,0005,085
0.9283005,385
0.8805255,910

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0312020
0.032258278
0.03424302
0.04030332
0.04820352
0.04961413
0.050429842
0.05924866
0.0602,2203,085
0.0702,0005,085
0.0723005,385
0.1205255,910

Spread0.021Mid0.021

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0106262
0.0031779
0.002306385
0.0012,4642,848

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589Yes600
macrosteaksYes555
nicoco89Yes525.18
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes300.83
PolyArbiYes200
rondon89Yes190.69
ypootYes106
oneofthepplYes82.02
Elias.ThornwellYes81.66
0x275cFEe6b4D1Da10CB6eA5B63107589E07D86090-1765830993046Yes62.15
purplegattoYes61.2
immanuelcanYes60
tomkat07Yes51.53
uniloktijYes50.53
mariaperduskoYes50.2
seldixYes41.37
peepeepooppoopYes15.19
iloveu4everYes12.81
VollhorstYes10.75
vntgrYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:30:12BUYYes0.9913$12.68
05:30:09BUYYes0.989756145882$81.18
09:56:55BUYNo0.02828$0.77
09:56:53BUYNo0.0326$0.78
15:11:19SELLYes0.97625$24.00
15:26:23SELLNo0.02710156451,120$30.35
05:15:15BUYYes0.9561$58.14
19:57:45BUYYes0.94999989097$6.53
22:13:23BUYYes0.9518$17.06
21:09:18BUYYes0.9550$47.50
08:21:21BUYYes0.95200$190.00
10:08:45SELLYes0.942$1.88
09:14:24BUYYes0.952$1.94
14:20:13SELLYes0.942$1.88
13:00:57BUYYes0.952$1.94
00:00:06BUYYes0.9510$9.50
04:21:45BUYYes0.95300$285.00
13:41:40SELLYes0.942$1.88
16:13:49BUYYes0.95555$527.25
09:22:55BUYYes0.95300$285.00
17:20:49BUYYes0.95200$190.00
15:24:36SELLYes0.94128$119.98
12:29:34BUYYes0.95200$190.00
02:25:42BUYYes0.9551$48.00
13:33:51BUYYes0.9538$36.48