ypoot
0x68a7cd979b133d59943ac413bdb33fae28d50f8d
- Realised P&L
- $-41.02
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $101.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $100.17 | +$0.53 |
| Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No | 0.977 | 0.997 | $1.01 | +$0.02 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.950Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
- +$1.33at 0.974Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.976Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.12at 0.950Kash Patel out by May 31?
- +$0.62at 0.969Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 12:35 | Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |