PolyBot

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Traders

0x275cFEe6b4D1Da10CB6eA5B63107589E07D86090-1765830993046

0x275cfee6b4d1da10cb6ea5b63107589e07d86090

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$183.6k
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$19.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$632.25+$70.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8400.972$615.93+$83.37
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.983$593.73+$31.73
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9000.960$573.63+$35.54
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9020.945$539.61+$24.61
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.9100.957$367.88+$17.88
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.8150.942$323.45+$43.45
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9390.971$320.60+$10.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8050.961$303.33+$49.23
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? · Yes0.7800.935$282.90+$46.90
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7500.870$280.14+$38.64
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.935$271.27+$36.27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.935$266.97+$49.97
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7800.895$265.06+$34.06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.8200.935$264.54+$32.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 08:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.26$2.49
08-04 11:59Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?SELL0.98$0.31
08-03 11:09Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.9648747343$19.00
08-02 12:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.9130857348$29.00
08-02 10:23Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7980277315$21.00
08-02 10:04Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
08-02 06:23US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7766666667$11.65
08-02 00:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8347826033$8.00
08-01 18:11Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.9504344912$42.00
08-01 02:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.8$29.00
08-01 00:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7899999993$43.00
07-31 21:16Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?BUY0.8995491009$32.00
07-31 21:09Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.9$51.00
07-31 21:06Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9279210148$126.00
07-31 20:53Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.9399999997$137.00