rondon89
0x21770346fb90005996101d87bc4d7c7d6cb83fb4
- Realised P&L
- $-659.36
- Volume
- $85.1k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.09at 0.737Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$115.69at 0.450Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?
- +$110.49at 0.452Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?
- +$98.99at 0.792Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$90.58at 0.990Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2001580776 | $6.91 |
| 09-10 11:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.186 | $0.12 |
| 09-10 10:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.185 | $0.63 |
| 09-10 10:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.184 | $7.42 |
| 09-09 18:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.162 | $0.32 |
| 09-09 18:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.31 |
| 09-09 18:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.12 |
| 09-09 16:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.144 | $0.66 |
| 09-09 16:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1457068015 | $1.59 |
| 09-09 16:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1465071375 | $5.85 |
| 09-01 02:05 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.37 |
| 08-29 15:19 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.40 |
| 08-29 07:24 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.06 |
| 08-29 07:24 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.10 |
| 08-29 07:24 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.14 |