PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.989. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.984. Range 0.791 to 0.994. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9962020
0.997100120
0.998834954
0.9991,0401,994

Spread0.014Mid0.989

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9822020
0.98183103
0.98050153
0.961100253
0.960100353
0.95150403
0.950100503
0.611180683
0.610250933
0.588981,031
0.5503471,378
0.4903891,767

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0182020
0.01983103
0.02050153
0.039100253
0.040100353
0.04950403
0.050100503
0.389180683
0.390250933
0.412981,031
0.4503471,378
0.5103891,767

Spread0.014Mid0.011

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0042020
0.003100120
0.002834954
0.0011,0401,994

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes1,327.25
OmegaV2Yes200
GluedYes162
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes123.19
bernardbulletinYes77.4
Elias.ThornwellYes41.43
oneofthepplYes41.01
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556Yes20
asdadada123Yes8
VioletTrunksYes5.21
0xa5ef…2966No1,116.79
Dr.PNLNo200
xtxpleasecallmeNo159.56
BSS37No100
Biver52No100
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.No98.02
MajasNo77.1
richyeeNo50
Rain-Prob-01No30.14
paas2No30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:17:09BUYNo0.0085$0.04
00:16:58BUYNo0.0075$0.04
16:01:19SELLYes0.995$4.95
15:52:22SELLYes0.995$4.95
03:54:21BUYYes0.9810$0.42
03:54:18BUYYes0.980999998511$10.80
01:22:52BUYNo0.02227$0.59
18:46:09BUYYes0.98130$29.43
11:43:48SELLNo0.0199$0.16
13:51:34BUYNo0.02217$0.37
00:14:15SELLYes0.9751$0.97
05:10:05SELLYes0.9751$0.97
01:31:09BUYYes0.9755$5.14
01:29:20BUYYes0.9755$5.14
01:16:08BUYYes0.9755$5.13
01:16:02BUYYes0.9755$5.13
14:58:17BUYYes0.97540$39.00
14:58:11BUYYes0.9757$7.31
22:14:59SELLNo0.00243$0.09
15:49:43SELLYes0.9790671293150$146.72
09:36:46BUYYes0.98620685200$197.24
06:47:44BUYYes0.96810$9.68
02:26:22BUYNo0.0411$0.44
02:26:22BUYNo0.0410$0.40
01:18:19SELLNo0.04310$12.39