OmegaV2
0x7804ab26ae35e351fac60d7e23f5fc40b9f7dbcc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $429.8k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $940.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.970 | $484.75 | −$5.75 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.949 | 0.945 | $472.50 | −$2.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.737Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:17 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9494074 | $474.70 |
| 09-17 18:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.981 | $490.50 |
| 09-17 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 09-17 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-16 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 09-16 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.01 |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 09-15 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 09-15 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-14 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9881166 | $98.81 |
| 09-14 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9862 | $98.62 |
| 09-14 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 09-14 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9932456 | $99.32 |
| 09-13 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.985275 | $39.41 |