OmegaV2
0x7804ab26ae35e351fac60d7e23f5fc40b9f7dbcc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $461.0k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.49at 0.937Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$71.05at 0.965Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$67.40at 0.933Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$64.00at 0.968Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$54.47at 0.973Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9898228 | $49.49 |
| 11-01 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 11-01 12:40 | Bitcoin above 76,000 on November 1, 8AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 12:20 | Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-31 06:33 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9538 | $95.38 |
| 10-31 05:18 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9162 | $183.24 |
| 10-29 20:57 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9796732 | $293.90 |
| 10-29 20:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.541 | $11.84 |
| 10-29 20:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5399799841 | $258.18 |
| 10-29 05:55 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.982496 | $196.50 |
| 10-29 04:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87220712 | $436.10 |
| 10-24 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on October 24? | BUY | 0.9981249 | $199.62 |
| 10-19 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-18 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 10-18 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |