PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.355. down 0.137 over the period, from 0.492. Range 0.191 to 0.568. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3633030
0.36498128
0.36650178
0.367200378
0.37157434
0.373220654
0.376135789
0.38150839
0.38853892
0.39150942
0.3921931,135
0.397501,185

Spread0.014Mid0.356

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3493030
0.34881111
0.34750161
0.34650211
0.34550261
0.344272533
0.34068601
0.339220821
0.336135956
0.3341501,106
0.332191,125
0.328511,176

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6513030
0.65281111
0.65350161
0.65450211
0.65550261
0.656272533
0.66068601
0.661220821
0.664135956
0.6661501,106
0.668191,125
0.672511,176

Spread0.014Mid0.644

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6373030
0.63698128
0.63450178
0.633200378
0.62957434
0.627220654
0.624135789
0.61950839
0.61253892
0.60950942
0.6081931,135
0.603501,185

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cookedquailYes3,724.82
GotGreenWoodYes2,153.44
bigdickprickYes1,497.26
DW1Yes750
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes482.21
tradetosurvive1Yes474.48
xtxpleasecallmeYes430.5
funnydayYes300
0x440ecB602d49B1799A4f1e0a4edF7452bf434907-1768438074252Yes221
bodohYes200
LornaPredictsYes181.83
financegaaaydogYes102.68
FihdrzgddYes84.98
GuyFromTinderYes61.02
bigdihhh888Yes60.54
PMWolfYes56
v1ncentYes50
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332Yes50
0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295Yes40
0xd00c…589eYes40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:19:52SELLNo0.6364161425310$197.28
14:51:30SELLNo0.637143442639$24.87
14:18:06SELLNo0.64142414434$21.73
14:11:27SELLNo0.64540$25.99
05:04:55SELLNo0.6030$0.04
05:04:49BUYNo0.6441725129174$112.02
05:04:48BUYNo0.655061336450$32.80
04:39:54BUYNo0.617999988634$20.95
04:39:04SELLNo0.61715$9.25
04:39:03BUYYes0.38299999721$7.93
04:38:24SELLNo0.6313$8.19
04:38:18SELLNo0.630721649597$61.18
04:38:18SELLNo0.63250$31.60
04:19:19SELLNo0.69175$51.82
03:59:03SELLNo0.72620271881,420$1031.56
03:59:01BUYYes0.2883333333150$43.25
22:21:31BUYNo0.75160$44.98
22:18:39SELLYes0.2510$0.00
22:18:34SELLNo0.6692$1.14
22:18:34BUYNo0.7261667515511$370.94
22:18:34BUYNo0.75250$37.60
22:18:33BUYNo0.75199999552$38.88
22:18:33BUYNo0.726999996852$37.60
20:45:49SELLYes0.279351123657$15.91
20:45:31SELLNo0.66940$26.76