v1ncent
0x4afc9e57bd843148018f229064e74f8ec080e11e
- Realised P&L
- $-759.16
- Volume
- $267.6k
- Markets traded
- 5,965
- Open portfolio
- $81.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,965
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$361.96at 0.645Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$358.86at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$321.28at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$316.94at 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$294.47at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:54 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 09-15 17:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.68 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-14 13:50 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-14 13:50 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 11:38 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.98 |
| 09-14 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-14 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-14 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-14 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-14 09:13 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.883 | $4.42 |
| 09-14 09:07 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 09-14 08:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-14 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |