PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PMWolf

0xd89ab02ff41ab5dbb3bed0f1ad919e3bbc263fc0

Realised P&L
$-823.12
Volume
$85.3k
Markets traded
861
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded861
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.7800.745$149.00−$7.00
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31? · Yes0.4940.558$87.87+$10.00
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · No0.6630.645$82.58−$2.35
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting? · Yes0.7690.580$81.55−$26.56
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · No0.8000.755$80.75−$4.80
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? · No0.5050.535$70.62+$3.96
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes0.7900.675$70.20−$11.96
Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8300.530$57.24−$32.40
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4000.350$56.70−$8.10
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7700.700$56.00−$5.60
Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? · No0.3700.620$53.94+$21.75
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.5890.476$50.46−$11.98
Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship? · No0.5100.445$46.28−$6.76
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · No0.6240.580$45.80−$3.44
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.5200.420$45.36−$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 19:46Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?SELL0.53$0.23
10-20 19:36Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini?SELL0.167$8.85
10-20 17:37Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?SELL0.14$2.94
10-20 13:07Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?SELL0.41$19.37
10-19 21:30Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?SELL0.12$0.59
10-19 10:38Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?SELL0.33$4.62
10-19 10:36Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?SELL0.36$14.40