PMWolf
0xd89ab02ff41ab5dbb3bed0f1ad919e3bbc263fc0
- Realised P&L
- $-823.12
- Volume
- $85.3k
- Markets traded
- 861
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded861
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.31at 0.156Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?
- +$56.81at 0.351Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$56.08at 0.220Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
- +$50.63at 0.240Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?
- +$47.31at 0.120Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:46 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.23 |
| 10-20 19:36 | Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | SELL | 0.167 | $8.85 |
| 10-20 17:37 | Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.94 |
| 10-20 13:07 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $19.37 |
| 10-19 21:30 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.59 |
| 10-19 10:38 | Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.62 |
| 10-19 10:36 | Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%? | SELL | 0.36 | $14.40 |