0xd00cd03fcc26bd89f97bd4f412abeedf6e83589e
0xd00cd03fcc26bd89f97bd4f412abeedf6e83589e
- Realised P&L
- $-88.55
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $411.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.60at 0.180Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$46.80at 0.300Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$44.22at 0.310US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$43.00at 0.070Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?
- +$40.80at 0.260Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 18:17 | Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.31 |
| 10-23 16:04 | Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 10-22 22:20 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 10-22 22:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.43 | $44.29 |
| 10-22 21:50 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $23.80 |
| 10-22 21:25 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 10-22 21:24 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 10-22 18:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $74.16 |
| 10-22 18:50 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 10-22 17:36 | Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8372908197 | $255.37 |
| 10-22 14:03 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.356922093 | $30.70 |
| 10-22 13:23 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.359 | $10.01 |
| 10-22 12:36 | Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.72 |
| 10-22 12:30 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.75 | $127.50 |
| 10-22 10:07 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.1537572727 | $16.91 |