PolyBot

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Traders

0xd00cd03fcc26bd89f97bd4f412abeedf6e83589e

0xd00cd03fcc26bd89f97bd4f412abeedf6e83589e

Realised P&L
$-88.55
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$411.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? · No0.8740.814$32.54−$2.42
Will Sunderland finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? · No0.6100.600$24.00−$0.40
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.6000.575$21.27−$0.93
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement? · No0.5300.920$18.40+$7.80
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the February meeting? · No0.6800.895$17.90+$4.30
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends? · No0.6800.765$15.30+$1.70
Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30? · No0.6600.765$15.30+$2.10
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? · Yes0.6700.725$14.50+$1.10
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · Yes0.6830.356$14.26−$13.06
Will JJ Wetherholt win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · No0.5900.685$13.70+$1.90
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? · No0.5000.650$13.00+$3.00
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7200.645$12.90−$1.50
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? · No0.5200.645$12.90+$2.50
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? · Yes0.5000.575$11.50+$1.50
Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31? · Yes0.5500.545$10.90−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 18:17Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?SELL0.31$0.31
10-23 16:04Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.67$33.50
10-22 22:20Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?BUY0.74$74.00
10-22 22:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.43$44.29
10-22 21:50Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.7$23.80
10-22 21:25Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.71$142.00
10-22 21:24Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$60.00
10-22 18:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.72$74.16
10-22 18:50Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?BUY0.62$3.72
10-22 17:36Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8372908197$255.37
10-22 14:03Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.356922093$30.70
10-22 13:23Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?SELL0.359$10.01
10-22 12:36Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?SELL0.63$0.72
10-22 12:30Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.75$127.50
10-22 10:07Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.1537572727$16.91