PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.44. down 0.24 over the period, from 0.68. Range 0.34 to 0.81. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.447272
0.4850122
0.5283205
0.5920225
0.6150275
0.67224499
0.7350549
0.8220569
0.855574
0.8820594
0.8950644
0.959091,553

Spread0.03Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41753753
0.40215968
0.392421,210
0.374971,707
0.331721,879
0.18101,889
0.14501,939
0.137792,718
0.121002,818
0.11402,858
0.04132,872
0.03202,892

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59753753
0.60215968
0.612421,210
0.634971,707
0.671721,879
0.82101,889
0.86501,939
0.877792,718
0.881002,818
0.89402,858
0.96132,872
0.97202,892

Spread0.03Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.567272
0.5250122
0.4883205
0.4120225
0.3950275
0.33224499
0.2750549
0.1820569
0.155574
0.1220594
0.1150644
0.059091,553

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HDGBYes1,982.37
Started-with-20-USDYes355
rocky42016Yes265
just-bettorYes206.07
xtxpleasecallmeYes195.55
GuyFromTinderYes104.77
needleladderYes83.44
FihdrzgddYes71.95
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes70
lissartterYes69
financegaaaydogYes55.04
Leclerc04Yes50
WarriorHYes50
frontiertradeYes44.17
PPMTYes30.08
cloverpmq2Yes30
JsonStathamYes22
ddadsfYes10
asdfasdf11Yes10
sadfsadfYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:36:34BUYNo0.5730$17.10
23:35:52BUYNo0.5048811552628$317.13
23:35:52BUYNo0.5950$29.50
22:08:54BUYNo0.4550$22.50
21:41:18BUYNo0.450$20.00
21:41:18BUYNo0.483$33.33
21:15:58SELLNo0.4550$22.50
20:15:54BUYYes0.5515$8.26
20:15:54SELLYes0.471$0.48
20:15:54BUYYes0.5535$19.23
20:15:52SELLNo0.5156426052448$231.02
20:15:52BUYYes0.5150$25.50
20:15:52BUYYes0.48999999251$25.00
20:15:52BUYYes0.4965272881101$50.00
20:15:52BUYYes0.4950$24.50
20:15:51BUYYes0.4964$31.36
08:32:40BUYNo0.545$2.70
08:32:40BUYNo0.545$2.70
08:32:40BUYNo0.545$2.70
05:25:58SELLYes0.452$0.86
05:25:58SELLYes0.5371056021691$371.13
05:02:07BUYNo0.5410$5.39
04:27:52SELLYes0.461$0.24
04:27:51SELLYes0.47194$91.18
04:10:37SELLYes0.461$0.27