0xbb108794245ccba9be3c729d091b362e8538523d
0xbb108794245ccba9be3c729d091b362e8538523d
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.126Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.01at 0.440Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
- +$9.92at 0.420Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
- +$5.00at 0.400Trump renames AI by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:16 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-28 12:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1304314754 | $392.52 |
| 09-27 23:42 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.7906108172 | $1.4k |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.61 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.72 | $28.52 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.209 | $360.30 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? | SELL | 0.67 | $9.38 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.67 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | SELL | 0.825 | $8.25 |
| 09-27 10:03 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.0k |
| 09-27 10:03 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.209 | $522.50 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |