PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xbb108794245ccba9be3c729d091b362e8538523d

0xbb108794245ccba9be3c729d091b362e8538523d

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar21.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.745$74.50−$1.50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7000.755$67.95+$4.95
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.7850.785$59.15+$0.00
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6950.665$53.20−$2.40
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? · No0.6600.635$50.80−$2.00
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.6200.555$44.40−$5.20
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.8800.885$44.25+$0.25
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · No0.8500.815$40.75−$1.75
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8500.815$40.75−$1.75
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%? · No0.7800.760$38.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.755$37.75−$1.25
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.6900.695$34.75+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8800.861$34.42−$0.78
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.665$33.25+$2.75
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? · No0.5600.550$33.00−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:16Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.63$31.50
09-28 12:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.73$36.50
09-28 05:26Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?BUY0.1304314754$392.52
09-27 23:42Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.7906108172$1.4k
09-27 23:39Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.41$1.61
09-27 23:39Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.72$28.52
09-27 23:39Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.209$360.30
09-27 23:39Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?SELL0.67$9.38
09-27 23:39Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.79$3.67
09-27 23:39Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?SELL0.825$8.25
09-27 10:03Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.79$2.0k
09-27 10:03Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.209$522.50
09-27 10:02Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?SELL0.79$15.80
09-27 10:02Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?SELL0.57$11.40
09-27 10:02Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?SELL0.65$13.00