PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.21 over the period, from 0.57. Range 0.17 to 0.57. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.551414
0.563145
0.64139184
0.6540224
0.6620244
0.7220264
0.7420284
0.7820304
0.9020324
0.9320344
0.9711356
0.9838394

Spread0.39Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.169393
0.1350143
0.11180323
0.10301624
0.085629
0.056635
0.0440675
0.0356731
0.02126857
0.012061,063

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.849393
0.8750143
0.89180323
0.90301624
0.925629
0.956635
0.9640675
0.9756731
0.98126857
0.992061,063

Spread0.39Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.451414
0.443145
0.36139184
0.3540224
0.3420244
0.2820264
0.2620284
0.2220304
0.1020324
0.0720344
0.0311356
0.0238394

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
df4d8fa4sdf5Yes300
HaradwaithYes159.12
tradetosurvive1Yes148.97
FihdrzgddYes106.28
2B9SYes50.51
frontiertradeYes23
bechamelYes10.8
GuyFromTinderYes8.5
romanew-1-newYes3.5
SuperTestsNo325
OndraNo301.04
wmbennisNo55.11
AJSVNo54.63
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No26.78
ScoopdewhoopNo20
0xbada…d874No16.95
lissartterNo10.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:07:15BUYNo0.6431$20.01
16:06:42SELLNo0.6340$25.20
16:06:21SELLNo0.6220$12.40
15:13:12SELLNo0.6212$7.71
14:38:30SELLNo0.6310$6.30
12:22:16SELLNo0.626$3.96
06:54:27SELLNo0.721$14.70
04:29:36BUYNo0.5921$12.39
00:54:25SELLNo0.7821$16.38
18:26:30BUYNo0.5621$11.76
15:16:57BUYYes0.299999991624$7.18
15:04:41SELLNo0.715$10.19
15:04:39BUYYes0.299999986215$4.36
14:55:11SELLNo0.720$14.00
14:47:41SELLNo0.720$14.00
14:47:39SELLNo0.720$14.00
14:05:45SELLNo0.76$4.20
14:04:39SELLNo0.7115$10.33
12:25:48SELLNo0.7321$15.33
11:58:49SELLNo0.739$6.21
11:24:58SELLNo0.759$6.90
11:24:24SELLNo0.7511$8.45
11:05:04SELLNo0.776$4.43
11:04:58SELLNo0.7715$11.74
10:42:45SELLNo0.716$4.26