Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 428 | 428 |
| 0.20 | 507 | 935 |
| 0.21 | 186 | 1,122 |
| 0.23 | 200 | 1,322 |
| 0.24 | 392 | 1,714 |
| 0.25 | 143 | 1,857 |
| 0.29 | 100 | 1,957 |
| 0.34 | 264 | 2,221 |
| 0.58 | 40 | 2,261 |
| 0.59 | 497 | 2,758 |
| 0.86 | 10 | 2,768 |
| 0.92 | 5 | 2,773 |
Spread0.02Mid0.18
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 303 | 303 |
| 0.16 | 2,675 | 2,978 |
| 0.15 | 1,424 | 4,402 |
| 0.14 | 2,107 | 6,509 |
| 0.13 | 2,000 | 8,509 |
| 0.12 | 5 | 8,514 |
| 0.11 | 57 | 8,571 |
| 0.10 | 519 | 9,089 |
| 0.09 | 257 | 9,346 |
| 0.07 | 391 | 9,737 |
| 0.06 | 353 | 10,090 |
| 0.05 | 400 | 10,490 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 303 | 303 |
| 0.84 | 2,675 | 2,978 |
| 0.85 | 1,424 | 4,402 |
| 0.86 | 2,107 | 6,509 |
| 0.87 | 2,000 | 8,509 |
| 0.88 | 5 | 8,514 |
| 0.89 | 57 | 8,571 |
| 0.90 | 519 | 9,089 |
| 0.91 | 257 | 9,346 |
| 0.93 | 391 | 9,737 |
| 0.94 | 353 | 10,090 |
| 0.95 | 400 | 10,490 |
Spread0.02Mid0.82
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 428 | 428 |
| 0.80 | 507 | 935 |
| 0.79 | 186 | 1,122 |
| 0.77 | 200 | 1,322 |
| 0.76 | 392 | 1,714 |
| 0.75 | 143 | 1,857 |
| 0.71 | 100 | 1,957 |
| 0.66 | 264 | 2,221 |
| 0.42 | 40 | 2,261 |
| 0.41 | 497 | 2,758 |
| 0.14 | 10 | 2,768 |
| 0.08 | 5 | 2,773 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t4zuwbigfjnrs | Yes | 2,714 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 2,560 |
| Started-with-20-USD | Yes | 1,652.24 |
| HDGB | Yes | 1,234.96 |
| df4d8fa4sdf5 | Yes | 200 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 196.68 |
| 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | Yes | 191.97 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 168.03 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 160 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 146.48 |
| jan-delarus | Yes | 142.86 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 74.71 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 50 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 43.8 |
| nanioto | Yes | 27 |
| burge146 | Yes | 20.68 |
| D222222222 | Yes | 20.01 |
| superaiapi | Yes | 15.57 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 14.08 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 10.45 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:34:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.19 | 26 | $4.87 |
| 23:53:03 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 22 | $17.38 |
| 07:40:19 | BUY | No | 0.7799999938 | 26 | $20.00 |
| 07:30:07 | BUY | No | 0.7699999992 | 26 | $20.00 |
| 07:30:07 | BUY | No | 0.77 | 166 | $127.82 |
| 01:07:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.2089913899 | 407 | $84.95 |
| 01:06:30 | SELL | Yes | 0.25 | 20 | $5.00 |
| 01:06:01 | SELL | No | 0.72 | 40 | $28.80 |
| 01:05:58 | BUY | Yes | 0.2044908896 | 467 | $95.39 |
| 19:34:09 | SELL | Yes | 0.2 | 20 | $4.00 |
| 19:34:07 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 60 | $47.40 |
| 19:34:07 | BUY | No | 0.8 | 40 | $32.00 |
| 19:34:04 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 20 | $15.80 |
| 19:24:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.17 | 40 | $6.80 |
| 19:12:52 | BUY | Yes | 0.16 | 112 | $17.92 |
| 13:48:13 | BUY | Yes | 0.17 | 40 | $6.80 |
| 09:23:53 | SELL | Yes | 0.14 | 8 | $1.12 |
| 09:09:23 | BUY | Yes | 0.17 | 8 | $1.36 |
| 02:03:46 | SELL | No | 0.85 | 4 | $3.40 |
| 02:03:44 | BUY | Yes | 0.146875 | 32 | $4.70 |
| 02:03:44 | SELL | No | 0.86 | 20 | $17.20 |
| 02:03:44 | BUY | Yes | 0.1395495495 | 111 | $15.49 |
| 02:03:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.14 | 8 | $1.12 |
| 02:03:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.14 | 32 | $4.48 |
| 02:03:43 | BUY | Yes | 0.14 | 20 | $2.80 |