PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.42. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.40. Range 0.11 to 0.64. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.531010
0.925060
0.9440100
0.956106
0.9636142
0.9915158

Spread0.22Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.314040
0.264080
0.2583163
0.24125288
0.2220308
0.1320328
0.0311339
0.0228367
0.0113380

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.694040
0.744080
0.7583163
0.76125288
0.7820308
0.8720328
0.9711339
0.9828367
0.9913380

Spread0.22Mid0.58

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.471010
0.085060
0.0640100
0.056106
0.0436142
0.0115158

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
df4d8fa4sdf5Yes403.88
AJSVYes31.67
lissartterYes7.05
jeepcamryYes4.33
OndraNo125.05
FihdrzgddNo100
2B9SNo29.99
tradetosurvive1No28.88
cybermaxsNo22
0xbada…d874No21
Dr.PNLNo20.01
GuyFromTinderNo20
pppnnNo20
Miaomi666No20
POB1No20
gavinfundaNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:15:36BUYNo0.3821$7.98
21:31:33SELLNo0.751$0.75
21:31:22SELLNo0.76103$78.28
21:31:22BUYYes0.2520$5.00
01:40:09SELLYes0.2210$2.20
22:44:21SELLYes0.2220$4.40
16:43:49SELLNo0.7640$30.39
14:47:49SELLNo0.7620$15.20
14:47:46BUYYes0.1820$3.60
14:47:45BUYYes0.1720$3.40
14:47:43SELLNo0.84240$201.59
14:47:43BUYYes0.1720$3.40
14:47:43BUYYes0.1720$3.40
06:01:10SELLNo0.8420$16.80
05:54:21SELLNo0.844$3.26
00:16:27SELLNo0.7740$30.80
23:43:55SELLNo0.8420$16.80
23:43:34SELLNo0.8540$34.00
23:37:57BUYNo0.8620$17.20
23:37:48BUYNo0.84540$33.80
23:17:21BUYYes0.1404951966404$56.74
22:46:58SELLNo0.865$4.30
22:46:31SELLNo0.865$4.30
05:30:48BUYNo0.615$3.05
05:13:40BUYNo0.615$3.05