Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.175 | 120 | 120 |
| 0.176 | 20 | 140 |
| 0.177 | 60 | 200 |
| 0.179 | 131 | 331 |
| 0.180 | 203 | 534 |
| 0.182 | 120 | 654 |
| 0.183 | 90 | 744 |
| 0.184 | 20 | 764 |
| 0.189 | 20 | 784 |
| 0.190 | 50 | 834 |
| 0.196 | 20 | 854 |
| 0.199 | 160 | 1,014 |
Spread0.024Mid0.163
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.151 | 150 | 150 |
| 0.148 | 52 | 202 |
| 0.147 | 249 | 451 |
| 0.143 | 65 | 516 |
| 0.142 | 2,040 | 2,556 |
| 0.141 | 160 | 2,716 |
| 0.140 | 100 | 2,816 |
| 0.138 | 368 | 3,184 |
| 0.136 | 20 | 3,204 |
| 0.134 | 160 | 3,364 |
| 0.129 | 1,000 | 4,364 |
| 0.128 | 179 | 4,543 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.849 | 150 | 150 |
| 0.852 | 52 | 202 |
| 0.853 | 249 | 451 |
| 0.857 | 65 | 516 |
| 0.858 | 2,040 | 2,556 |
| 0.859 | 160 | 2,716 |
| 0.860 | 100 | 2,816 |
| 0.862 | 368 | 3,184 |
| 0.864 | 20 | 3,204 |
| 0.866 | 160 | 3,364 |
| 0.871 | 1,000 | 4,364 |
| 0.872 | 179 | 4,543 |
Spread0.024Mid0.837
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.825 | 120 | 120 |
| 0.824 | 20 | 140 |
| 0.823 | 60 | 200 |
| 0.821 | 131 | 331 |
| 0.820 | 203 | 534 |
| 0.818 | 120 | 654 |
| 0.817 | 90 | 744 |
| 0.816 | 20 | 764 |
| 0.811 | 20 | 784 |
| 0.810 | 50 | 834 |
| 0.804 | 20 | 854 |
| 0.801 | 160 | 1,014 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t4zuwbigfjnrs | Yes | 2,045 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 1,667 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 1,274.29 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 868.48 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 270 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 136.35 |
| alamedamemola | Yes | 89.13 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 40.92 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 34.78 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.96 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 27 |
| lissartter | Yes | 21.68 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 10.92 |
| bestxx | Yes | 5.9 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 3.58 |
| raxonwood | Yes | 3.19 |
| pppnn | Yes | 2.99 |
| Majas | Yes | 2.67 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 1.35 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:45:49 | BUY | No | 0.8479999824 | 6 | $5.00 |
| 06:02:09 | BUY | No | 0.821 | 20 | $16.42 |
| 02:02:27 | BUY | No | 0.8206711558 | 199 | $163.31 |
| 02:02:27 | BUY | No | 0.8219999995 | 11 | $8.98 |
| 14:48:13 | SELL | No | 0.831 | 67 | $55.68 |
| 13:48:13 | SELL | No | 0.819 | 40 | $32.76 |
| 13:48:11 | BUY | Yes | 0.1216769696 | 1,486 | $180.81 |
| 13:48:11 | BUY | Yes | 0.154 | 23 | $3.55 |
| 13:48:11 | BUY | Yes | 0.138 | 50 | $6.90 |
| 07:07:10 | SELL | Yes | 0.103 | 13 | $1.31 |
| 07:06:40 | SELL | Yes | 0.103 | 30 | $3.09 |
| 06:38:32 | BUY | Yes | 0.12 | 200 | $24.00 |
| 17:05:44 | SELL | No | 0.881 | 76 | $67.23 |
| 14:57:43 | SELL | Yes | 0.111 | 15 | $1.67 |
| 14:57:40 | BUY | No | 0.8872142857 | 70 | $62.10 |
| 11:19:10 | BUY | Yes | 0.1169055811 | 50 | $5.84 |
| 11:05:53 | BUY | No | 0.886 | 45 | $39.92 |
| 08:49:16 | BUY | No | 0.8839999846 | 24 | $21.39 |
| 08:44:29 | BUY | No | 0.882 | 99 | $87.32 |
| 07:56:43 | BUY | No | 0.887 | 111 | $98.46 |
| 17:59:18 | BUY | Yes | 0.131 | 50 | $6.55 |
| 16:31:42 | SELL | No | 0.8842968912 | 39 | $34.13 |
| 16:31:41 | SELL | Yes | 0.104 | 7 | $0.70 |
| 16:31:41 | SELL | No | 0.8927765438 | 90 | $80.39 |
| 16:31:41 | BUY | Yes | 0.0983155369 | 1,667 | $163.89 |