raxonwood
0x23ea5743b4a7c8264090220157c7bb6a8d255a98
- Realised P&L
- $-951.13
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 573
- Open portfolio
- $46.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded573
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.80at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$41.68at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$40.84at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$40.45at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$38.99at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:38 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $27.88 |
| 09-24 09:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-24 05:32 | Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.27 |
| 09-24 03:35 | Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.96 |
| 09-24 03:28 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.46 |
| 09-24 03:23 | Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-24 01:59 | Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.48 | $19.10 |
| 09-24 01:31 | Will McCormick (MKC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.96 |
| 09-24 00:49 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-23 20:50 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.82 |
| 09-23 19:13 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.84 |
| 09-23 17:37 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.99 |
| 09-23 06:27 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.51 |
| 09-23 01:28 | Will Delight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.55 |
| 09-23 00:44 | Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.37 |