PolyBot

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Traders

raxonwood

0x23ea5743b4a7c8264090220157c7bb6a8d255a98

Realised P&L
$-951.13
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
573
Open portfolio
$46.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded573
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · No0.6700.490$21.72$7.98
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.6300.770$4.30+$0.78
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · Yes0.3600.135$4.04$6.73
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes0.7300.860$3.88+$0.59
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · No0.6000.570$2.70$0.14
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? · Yes0.3200.425$2.01+$0.50
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? · Yes0.0900.160$1.67+$0.73
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.3300.305$1.51$0.12
Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.2070.513$1.29+$0.77
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.9520.854$1.20$0.14
Will Kanavi win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · Yes0.0590.050$1.04$0.20
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.1000.026$0.85$2.42
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? · Yes0.3300.170$0.54$0.51
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? · Down0.4400.003$0.11$19.84
Will Elon post "Border" on X this week? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 11:38Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.976$27.88
09-24 09:14Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.81$16.20
09-24 05:32Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?BUY0.99$11.27
09-24 03:35Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.32$7.96
09-24 03:28Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.35$10.46
09-24 03:23Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.31$1.55
09-24 01:59Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.48$19.10
09-24 01:31Will McCormick (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4$11.96
09-24 00:49Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?BUY0.56$11.20
09-23 20:50Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?BUY0.75$9.82
09-23 19:13Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?BUY0.4$11.84
09-23 17:37Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?BUY0.27$7.99
09-23 06:27US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.82$24.51
09-23 01:28Will Delight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?BUY0.074$1.55
09-23 00:44Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.11$4.37