raxonwood
0x23ea5743b4a7c8264090220157c7bb6a8d255a98
- Realised P&L
- $-290.79
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $51.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.80at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$41.68at 0.351Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$40.84at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$40.45at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$38.99at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 11:39 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.51 | $13.01 |
| 08-10 05:15 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 08-10 02:01 | Will "No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto" - KAROL G first week album sales be between 60k and 70k? | BUY | 0.63 | $16.07 |
| 08-10 00:55 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $17.96 |
| 08-10 00:06 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 08-09 23:37 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.42 | $19.05 |
| 08-09 23:21 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.63 |
| 08-09 23:20 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.61 | $27.38 |
| 08-09 23:19 | Will Jack Grealish join Everton? | BUY | 0.57 | $29.08 |
| 08-09 15:30 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.75 | $16.01 |
| 08-09 01:59 | Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.72 | $29.38 |
| 08-07 17:16 | Will Cole Palmer finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.984 | $19.68 |
| 08-07 12:10 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 08-07 04:22 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.10 |
| 08-07 01:05 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |