PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.30. down 0.16 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.18 to 0.46. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32213213
0.3380293
0.3420313
0.351314
0.3920335
0.4095430
0.41226655
0.4260715
0.4320735
0.4453788
0.946794
0.9540834

Spread0.04Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28280280
0.2745325
0.1815340
0.1718358
0.056364
0.0428392
0.0348440
0.0122462

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72280280
0.7345325
0.8215340
0.8318358
0.956364
0.9628392
0.9748440
0.9922462

Spread0.04Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68213213
0.6780293
0.6620313
0.651314
0.6120335
0.6095430
0.59226655
0.5860715
0.5720735
0.5653788
0.066794
0.0540834

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes119.03
pootytherewardfarmerYes98
0xc91507aC5B25E4385F6eEb0537B31f07FfE5479b-1780899090000Yes60
AJSVYes41.2
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes37.09
2B9SYes35.33
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
galhammermanYes30
ScoopdewhoopYes25
gthdtrlij549y89Yes20
gavinfundaYes20
rocky42014Yes20
WarriorHYes1.02
0xbada…d874Yes1
OndraNo327.2
SuperTestsNo116
GuyFromTinderNo39.31
0x78c0…b3caNo20
fulanisudaneseNo17.7
PPMTNo7.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:09:43SELLYes0.2920$5.80
21:09:43SELLYes0.2915$4.35
20:47:15SELLYes0.283$0.70
20:37:43BUYYes0.31134$41.54
18:11:21BUYYes0.295$1.45
18:10:19BUYYes0.295$1.45
18:01:21BUYYes0.295$1.45
18:00:15BUYYes0.295$1.45
16:19:46BUYYes0.221$4.20
15:07:45BUYYes0.315$1.55
14:58:07SELLYes0.275$1.35
14:58:07SELLNo0.670$0.21
14:35:40BUYYes0.2710$2.70
14:35:39BUYYes0.2710$2.70
13:48:33BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:48:21SELLYes0.038$0.22
13:47:58SELLYes0.310$0.12
13:47:57BUYYes0.3445$15.16
13:47:57BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:47:54BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:47:54BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:47:54BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:47:52BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:47:52BUYYes0.345$1.70
13:46:27SELLNo0.6530$19.49