PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Alicie

0x4d587ec737567f776f55e14411ab2a4fb09e8679

Realised P&L
$101.11
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.8450.820$1.2k−$35.90
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? · No0.8430.855$919.66+$13.30
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? · No0.8100.740$739.99−$70.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? · No0.7700.650$650.00−$120.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? · No0.9000.845$439.40−$28.40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? · Yes0.1130.235$425.98+$220.61
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027? · No0.9000.790$158.00−$22.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · No0.5500.275$82.50−$82.50
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? · Yes0.0520.050$1.60−$0.08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$3.93
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? · Yes0.8740.000$0.00−$38.13
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$7.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 13:29Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?BUY0.1132960575$235.96
10-09 15:17Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?SELL0.08$8.08
10-09 00:35Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.9095351863$297.14
10-08 11:22Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?BUY0.82953827$726.36
10-08 11:20Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?SELL0.08$27.84
10-07 07:10Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.008$0.32
10-07 07:02Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?SELL0.027$1.62
09-18 23:40Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?BUY0.95$199.23