PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.149. down 0.301 over the period, from 0.450. Range 0.042 to 0.515. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.157143143
0.15820163
0.15940203
0.160178381
0.18420401
0.19020421
0.20420441
0.21350491
0.214100591
0.218100691
0.2207698
0.22223721

Spread0.017Mid0.149

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1404040
0.1382060
0.1362888
0.13150138
0.13058196
0.12420216
0.11220236
0.110259495
0.01315510
0.01216526
0.0117533
0.0108541

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8604040
0.8622060
0.8642888
0.86950138
0.87058196
0.87620216
0.88820236
0.890259495
0.98715510
0.98816526
0.9897533
0.9908541

Spread0.017Mid0.851

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.843143143
0.84220163
0.84140203
0.840178381
0.81620401
0.81020421
0.79620441
0.78750491
0.786100591
0.782100691
0.7807698
0.77823721

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
JasonPunosYes576.13
tocimprotocimYes483.82
Started-with-20-USDYes482.31
podairpodYes361.18
HaradwaithYes343.21
ferlivYes200.5
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dYes178.45
Adventure142Yes150
tradetosurvive1Yes141.33
MrYanDaoYes105
GidGudYes66.66
feecenterYes65
bogdanoooYes55.56
0x62a5…3365Yes54.07
a5533Yes50
infoowlYes40
pootytherewardfarmerYes34
BodytobodyYes25
0x4629…f3b1Yes20
0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963Yes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:00:17BUYYes0.143711466454$7.77
15:00:00SELLNo0.86740$34.68
14:59:56BUYYes0.12620$2.52
14:59:56BUYYes0.1199585329482$57.86
07:54:19BUYYes0.118999996820$2.42
07:54:16BUYYes0.11965$7.73
21:29:33SELLNo0.9415302100$94.15
21:29:33BUYYes0.059667930194$5.59
21:29:28SELLNo0.94159850$47.08
02:33:21BUYNo0.9711$10.59
02:21:37BUYNo0.9620$19.20
01:32:06BUYNo0.9099999999100$91.08
01:32:06BUYNo0.9228$25.37
01:32:06BUYNo0.929$8.43
01:32:06SELLNo0.8828$24.71
22:23:12BUYNo0.8920$17.80
22:23:10BUYNo0.8860$52.80
14:35:03BUYNo0.8659$50.74
14:33:54SELLYes0.1540$6.00
14:33:49BUYNo0.8560$51.00
14:33:01BUYNo0.8420$16.80
14:33:00BUYNo0.8415$12.60
14:33:00BUYNo0.8495$79.80
11:56:45SELLNo0.811$0.98
11:55:10SELLYes0.162$0.30