ferliv
0xa1357fd9a680474ef57ca9c6f957b777bd2df389
- Realised P&L
- $-100.80
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.65at 0.394Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$80.12at 0.612Genoa: Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valle
- +$54.56at 0.018Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?
- +$42.39at 0.788Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?
- +$30.33at 0.572US Open ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Ram/Salisbury
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:04 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils | SELL | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 10-29 13:17 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar | SELL | 0.43 | $1.57 |
| 10-28 17:41 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-28 17:19 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:18 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1161665044 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 16:46 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert | SELL | 0.2 | $13.00 |
| 10-28 14:16 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1275775383 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 14:14 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 11:48 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0544771228 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 11:38 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 11:36 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 10:43 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0609999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $26.39 |
| 10-27 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $10.00 |