ferliv
0xa1357fd9a680474ef57ca9c6f957b777bd2df389
- Realised P&L
- $-25.29
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.12at 0.612Genoa: Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valle
- +$30.33at 0.572US Open ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Ram/Salisbury
- +$27.39at 0.842Seville: Jaume Munar vs Raul Brancaccio
- +$24.32at 0.670Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
- +$21.59at 0.432Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3% or more? | BUY | 0.8292577906 | $29.05 |
| 09-16 15:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will Bayer Leverkusen reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will Bayer Leverkusen reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League semifinal? | BUY | 0.4134730183 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $10.78 |
| 09-16 08:58 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.38 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat? | BUY | 0.0549063006 | $6.10 |
| 09-15 13:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 3% or more? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-15 12:53 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.959 | $47.95 |
| 09-15 12:53 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 15:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 3% or more? | BUY | 0.8880624794 | $91.67 |
| 09-14 15:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.0585634717 | $7.21 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%? | BUY | 0.86 | $89.44 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.36 |
| 09-12 09:38 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.10 |