bogdanooo
0xaf9f64f7ddf1e37684ff054ae9e094c2d203d47d
- Realised P&L
- $37.35
- Volume
- $158.7k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $102.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.430 | $57.93 | −$2.66 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? · No | 0.101 | 0.060 | $36.23 | −$24.39 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.148 | $8.25 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$357.15at 0.280Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$73.21at 0.480LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$57.00at 0.715LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
- +$39.60at 0.900LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
- +$32.70at 0.890LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:45 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.45 | $113.08 |
| 09-11 08:24 | Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 21:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 12:54 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $30.00 |
| 08-24 09:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.647498452 | $20.91 |
| 08-23 17:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.65 |
| 08-18 19:44 | Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | BUY | 0.094 | $15.65 |
| 08-18 11:20 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $8.87 |
| 08-18 07:28 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.48 |
| 08-18 07:28 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.85 |
| 08-17 20:23 | Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | BUY | 0.096 | $14.40 |
| 08-12 12:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.495049505 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 09:10 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 08:35 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.3623238408 | $24.30 |
| 08-06 08:22 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.3679999896 | $15.00 |