GidGud
0x4867293b553c91c8f35a8fd811660d23c353a6f8
- Realised P&L
- $-20.0k
- Volume
- $3.59M
- Markets traded
- 2,022
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,022
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.60at 0.880Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$93.67at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?
- +$83.41at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?
- +$82.18at 0.836WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 11?
- +$73.90at 0.960US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $463.15 |
| 09-18 07:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 23:18 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.909 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $26.32 |
| 09-17 21:07 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.55 | $245.53 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.52 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.888 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 16:41 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.0731096 | $3.66 |
| 09-17 05:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 17? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-16 17:12 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.15 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.87 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $225.35 |
| 09-15 18:03 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.091 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 00:48 | Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.08 |