PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.105 over the period, from 0.130. Range 0.024 to 0.135. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.030333333
0.031365698
0.03340738
0.03650788
0.0374081,196
0.038501,246
0.0406281,873
0.0413612,235
0.043502,285
0.045942,379
0.0471162,495
0.0502112,706

Spread0.010Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.020279279
0.019345624
0.017100724
0.013181905
0.0106051,510
0.0093591,869
0.008581,927
0.0054222,349
0.0037103,059
0.0026,9369,995
0.00120,10530,100

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.980279279
0.981345624
0.983100724
0.987181905
0.9906051,510
0.9913591,869
0.992581,927
0.9954222,349
0.9977103,059
0.9986,9369,995
0.99920,10530,100

Spread0.010Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.970333333
0.969365698
0.96740738
0.96450788
0.9634081,196
0.962501,246
0.9606281,873
0.9593612,235
0.957502,285
0.955942,379
0.9531162,495
0.9502112,706

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
MFS-000Yes425.44
Dr.PNLYes320.62
LornaPredictsYes131
tradetosurvive1Yes125.89
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes100.33
Numitus1994Yes51.13
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
pppnnYes34.03
FihdrzgddYes30.85
AJSVYes30.01
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes20
0x5533…51baYes19.67
InterestingUserYes15
frontiertradeYes7.23
a5533Yes3.64
dips.No462.01
uncoNo403.34
whispercatalystNo363.9
AlAhmedaNo96.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:36:34BUYYes0.021999999746$1.02
22:51:24BUYNo0.97940$39.16
07:39:36BUYYes0.0350$1.50
22:52:55BUYYes0.0350$1.51
14:37:36BUYNo0.9670$67.20
14:34:30BUYNo0.9650$48.00
14:33:49BUYNo0.9597$92.15
14:33:16BUYNo0.9597$92.15
14:32:57BUYNo0.949897970198$93.10
14:06:15BUYNo0.946$5.64
11:56:43SELLNo0.931$1.14
07:50:45BUYNo0.9550$47.50
07:05:54SELLNo0.927$6.32
07:05:49SELLNo0.93100$93.41
03:58:51BUYNo0.9550$47.50
03:34:46SELLNo0.9316$14.43
03:34:30SELLNo0.9328$25.59
03:33:09SELLNo0.937$6.96
03:32:54SELLNo0.931583531351$47.06
03:32:48BUYNo0.9430$28.20
02:57:45BUYNo0.9460$56.40
02:08:19BUYNo0.9520$19.00
01:34:37SELLYes0.0820$1.60
01:34:28SELLYes0.0920$1.80
01:34:24BUYNo0.920$18.00