Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.430 over the period, from 0.465. Range 0.033 to 0.465. 131 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.036	36	36
0.037	150	186
0.039	234	419
0.040	250	669
0.041	50	719
0.043	134	853
0.044	1,254	2,107
0.045	3,350	5,457
0.046	2,099	7,557
0.049	1,000	8,557
0.050	1,000	9,557
0.051	1,211	10,767

Spread0.001Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	154	154
0.034	556	710
0.033	211	921
0.031	530	1,451
0.030	1,847	3,299
0.028	360	3,658
0.027	50	3,708
0.026	346	4,054
0.025	2,120	6,174
0.015	1,162	7,337
0.012	417	7,753
0.011	455	8,208

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	154	154
0.966	556	710
0.967	211	921
0.969	530	1,451
0.970	1,847	3,299
0.972	360	3,658
0.973	50	3,708
0.974	346	4,054
0.975	2,120	6,174
0.985	1,162	7,337
0.988	417	7,753
0.989	455	8,208

Spread0.001Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.964	36	36
0.963	150	186
0.961	234	419
0.960	250	669
0.959	50	719
0.957	134	853
0.956	1,254	2,107
0.955	3,350	5,457
0.954	2,099	7,557
0.951	1,000	8,557
0.950	1,000	9,557
0.949	1,211	10,767

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Bikesarethebest	Yes	476
SuperTests	Yes	250
Touge	Yes	183.52
planktonXD	Yes	145
0xd5cd…e2be	Yes	90
lissartter	Yes	85.88
romanew-1-new	Yes	68.68
wheatherman	Yes	60
AJSV	Yes	54.75
GotGreenWood	Yes	50
romanew-crypto	Yes	38.46
PPMT	Yes	30
LeChatonFat	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	20
youtube-trader	Yes	19.99
Majas	Yes	10
Hochul325	Yes	6.01
0x888888888	Yes	2.64
commeowder	No	1,324.55
tradetosurvive1	No	245

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:38:36	SELL	Yes	0.036	184	$6.61
06:38:36	SELL	Yes	0.038	22	$0.84
06:38:36	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
06:35:42	BUY	Yes	0.042	90	$3.78
18:44:59	SELL	Yes	0.04	645	$25.81
18:42:38	SELL	Yes	0.04	35	$1.40
18:42:20	SELL	Yes	0.04	50	$2.00
18:42:17	SELL	Yes	0.0430544022	1,582	$68.11
18:42:17	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
14:21:26	BUY	No	0.949	100	$94.90
14:21:25	SELL	Yes	0.0512185649	458	$23.43
13:07:30	SELL	Yes	0.052	19	$1.01
04:21:03	SELL	Yes	0.0533536068	99	$5.28
04:18:42	BUY	Yes	0.061	20	$1.24
04:18:42	BUY	Yes	0.061	15	$0.93
04:18:42	BUY	Yes	0.061	20	$1.25
04:18:42	BUY	Yes	0.061	23	$1.40
04:18:41	BUY	Yes	0.061	20	$1.22
04:16:42	SELL	No	0.939	51	$47.91
04:13:02	BUY	No	0.947	51	$48.32
17:01:40	SELL	Yes	0.05	458	$22.88
17:00:46	SELL	Yes	0.0575601042	1,375	$79.12
17:00:46	BUY	No	0.947	50	$47.35
13:59:46	BUY	No	0.9387407407	675	$633.65
16:13:13	BUY	No	0.909	157	$142.84