0xd5cd7a57ee36ef289b900b356e418d659ae6e2be
0xd5cd7a57ee36ef289b900b356e418d659ae6e2be
- Realised P&L
- $-45.89
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $101.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)3.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.339Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.00at 0.250Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?
- +$0.00at 0.260Will anyone say "Final" during Big Brother E41?
- +$0.00at 0.250Will anyone say "Monster" during President Curtis E10 S1?
- +$0.00at 0.310No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:46 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 09-26 07:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.40 |
| 09-26 07:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-26 07:38 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 09-26 07:26 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.24 |
| 09-26 07:13 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.40 |
| 09-26 07:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.85 |
| 09-26 07:07 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.76 |
| 09-26 07:00 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.80 |
| 09-26 06:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.24 |
| 09-26 06:12 | Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-26 06:04 | Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.70 |
| 09-26 05:49 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.25 |
| 09-26 05:40 | Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.08 |
| 09-26 05:39 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.40 |