Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.076. Range 0.051 to 0.140. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.051	193	193
0.052	554	747
0.056	63	810
0.061	835	1,645
0.064	110	1,755
0.071	50	1,805
0.352	94	1,899
0.353	113	2,012
0.354	613	2,624
0.355	500	3,124
0.430	121	3,246
0.431	540	3,785

Spread0.001Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.050	330	330
0.049	1,016	1,346
0.045	75	1,422
0.038	88	1,510
0.037	210	1,720
0.030	50	1,770
0.027	90	1,860
0.022	30	1,890
0.015	180	2,070
0.014	800	2,870
0.012	1,487	4,357
0.011	6,150	10,507

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.950	330	330
0.951	1,016	1,346
0.955	75	1,422
0.962	88	1,510
0.963	210	1,720
0.970	50	1,770
0.973	90	1,860
0.978	30	1,890
0.985	180	2,070
0.986	800	2,870
0.988	1,487	4,357
0.989	6,150	10,507

Spread0.001Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.949	193	193
0.948	554	747
0.944	63	810
0.939	835	1,645
0.936	110	1,755
0.929	50	1,805
0.648	94	1,899
0.647	113	2,012
0.646	613	2,624
0.645	500	3,124
0.570	121	3,246
0.569	540	3,785

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Newshound	Yes	1,610.48
singaporesling	Yes	680.69
0xbada…d874	Yes	178.4
BobbyBakedBeans	Yes	138.4
yoyobb2018	Yes	122.33
varch01	Yes	100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	93.64
0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048	Yes	92.13
LornaPredicts	Yes	77.43
a5533	Yes	47.98
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	46
rocky42014	Yes	44.73
Bikesarethebest	Yes	41.27
Dr.PNL	Yes	40
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	40
explorer221	Yes	37.5
AJSV	Yes	33.66
0x9219…5285	Yes	31.06
p3eFbv0H3b	Yes	30
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:36:33	BUY	No	0.949	5	$4.75
11:45:15	SELL	Yes	0.051	20	$1.02
09:10:31	BUY	No	0.9489999966	8	$8.00
05:51:51	SELL	Yes	0.06171	20	$1.23
00:06:27	SELL	Yes	0.070171	20	$1.40
17:51:10	SELL	Yes	0.071	40	$2.84
17:49:46	SELL	Yes	0.119	40	$4.76
17:49:43	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
17:49:43	BUY	No	0.88	200	$176.00
17:49:43	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
06:41:03	SELL	No	0.875	3	$2.48
03:15:54	BUY	No	0.8799999648	1	$1.00
17:20:36	SELL	Yes	0.122	20	$2.44
17:11:07	SELL	Yes	0.121	20	$2.41
13:33:58	SELL	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
13:33:48	BUY	No	0.8789999949	20	$17.57
13:33:48	SELL	Yes	0.129	100	$12.90
13:33:48	BUY	No	0.879	20	$17.58
09:33:55	SELL	Yes	0.129	1	$0.11
06:47:25	SELL	Yes	0.129	1	$0.11
05:36:34	SELL	Yes	0.129	0	$0.02
04:29:13	SELL	Yes	0.129	20	$2.60
04:23:48	SELL	Yes	0.13	5	$0.65
04:16:46	SELL	Yes	0.134	30	$4.02
01:28:06	BUY	No	0.87	13	$11.31