Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.058 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.059 | 165 | 205 |
| 0.060 | 313 | 518 |
| 0.067 | 17 | 535 |
| 0.074 | 80 | 615 |
| 0.075 | 90 | 705 |
| 0.076 | 30 | 735 |
| 0.077 | 20 | 755 |
| 0.084 | 41 | 796 |
| 0.088 | 28 | 824 |
| 0.127 | 70 | 894 |
| 0.170 | 158 | 1,052 |
Spread0.013Mid0.052
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.045 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.044 | 7 | 47 |
| 0.042 | 20 | 67 |
| 0.037 | 20 | 87 |
| 0.032 | 20 | 107 |
| 0.027 | 26 | 133 |
| 0.023 | 8 | 140 |
| 0.022 | 26 | 166 |
| 0.019 | 20 | 186 |
| 0.018 | 9 | 195 |
| 0.017 | 37 | 232 |
| 0.016 | 81 | 313 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.955 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.956 | 7 | 47 |
| 0.958 | 20 | 67 |
| 0.963 | 20 | 87 |
| 0.968 | 20 | 107 |
| 0.973 | 26 | 133 |
| 0.977 | 8 | 140 |
| 0.978 | 26 | 166 |
| 0.981 | 20 | 186 |
| 0.982 | 9 | 195 |
| 0.983 | 37 | 232 |
| 0.984 | 81 | 313 |
Spread0.013Mid0.948
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.942 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.941 | 165 | 205 |
| 0.940 | 313 | 518 |
| 0.933 | 17 | 535 |
| 0.926 | 80 | 615 |
| 0.925 | 90 | 705 |
| 0.924 | 30 | 735 |
| 0.923 | 20 | 755 |
| 0.916 | 41 | 796 |
| 0.912 | 28 | 824 |
| 0.873 | 70 | 894 |
| 0.830 | 158 | 1,052 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Newshound | Yes | 1,610.48 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 897.78 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 599.98 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 444.2 |
| 0xbada…d874 | Yes | 178.4 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 142.46 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | Yes | 128.77 |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 110.91 |
| Terrence1992 | Yes | 106.5 |
| varch01 | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 93.64 |
| 0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048 | Yes | 92.13 |
| Pre-rich-dude | Yes | 88.48 |
| 86fgh | Yes | 87.79 |
| title1 | Yes | 66.26 |
| benguezmen | Yes | 54.03 |
| chaosj89 | Yes | 48.1 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 46 |
| rocky42014 | Yes | 44.73 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 41.27 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:18:16 | SELL | Yes | 0.046 | 4 | $0.19 |
| 14:13:27 | BUY | Yes | 0.071 | 20 | $1.42 |
| 13:02:10 | SELL | No | 0.925 | 21 | $19.43 |
| 13:01:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.0660700009 | 54 | $3.57 |
| 08:33:45 | SELL | No | 0.954 | 4 | $3.49 |
| 08:33:42 | SELL | No | 0.957 | 7 | $7.04 |
| 08:33:39 | SELL | No | 0.958 | 18 | $17.34 |
| 02:34:40 | SELL | Yes | 0.046913242 | 22 | $1.03 |
| 02:33:36 | BUY | Yes | 0.07 | 20 | $1.40 |
| 20:30:31 | BUY | Yes | 0.039 | 26 | $1.01 |
| 19:12:31 | BUY | Yes | 0.0190097297 | 56 | $1.06 |
| 14:10:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.037 | 5 | $0.19 |
| 13:49:23 | SELL | No | 0.985 | 41 | $40.36 |
| 13:03:53 | BUY | Yes | 0.02 | 130 | $2.60 |
| 13:01:38 | SELL | Yes | 0.01 | 0 | $0.00 |
| 13:01:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.0112615321 | 680 | $7.66 |
| 03:14:15 | SELL | No | 0.9454669496 | 123 | $115.86 |
| 21:20:26 | SELL | Yes | 0.0081681237 | 178 | $1.46 |
| 12:33:12 | BUY | Yes | 0.019 | 150 | $2.85 |
| 09:12:45 | BUY | Yes | 0.019 | 30 | $0.57 |
| 05:04:17 | SELL | Yes | 0.0066008171 | 250 | $1.65 |
| 10:59:02 | SELL | Yes | 0.00720927 | 122 | $0.88 |
| 11:15:59 | SELL | No | 0.972004914 | 37 | $35.60 |
| 07:42:47 | SELL | Yes | 0.0114891835 | 14 | $0.16 |
| 06:04:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.033 | 50 | $1.65 |