PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

benguezmen

0x57394699483d558a931af31fb10ffe250eddb180

Realised P&L
$-611.03
Volume
$313.3k
Markets traded
660
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded660
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · No0.4650.445$269.71−$12.17
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.4980.445$238.07−$28.20
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.4890.615$210.02+$42.97
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7280.620$125.26−$21.75
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3130.822$123.22+$76.27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · No0.3270.335$74.30+$1.79
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.6710.785$61.23+$8.91
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7430.905$48.90+$8.75
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7730.810$42.13+$1.93
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? · No0.3240.275$42.08−$7.46
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7700.780$40.27+$0.52
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.6800.740$39.96+$3.24
Will Soneium launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6340.735$38.21+$5.24
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.6400.705$36.66+$3.38
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6640.690$35.88+$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:40Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?SELL0.65$14.30
11-01 18:40Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1$4.20
11-01 16:46QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.4486424397$23.78
11-01 16:08Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.69$23.40
11-01 11:41Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6671893028$24.69
11-01 08:24Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.0276853339$1.41
11-01 08:22QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.47$14.10
11-01 07:28Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.014$2.14
11-01 06:56Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.06$1.98
11-01 02:54Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.36$8.64
10-31 13:16Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.41$21.32
10-31 13:01Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.0660700009$3.57
10-31 12:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.43$22.36
10-31 12:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.43$10.32
10-31 12:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.4430192072$10.63