PolyBot

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Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.36. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.33 to 0.41. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.37431431
0.381,1501,581
0.39781,659
0.58231,682
0.59301,712
0.60251,737
0.66951,832
0.67401,872
0.721001,972
0.73302,002
0.745002,502
0.806503,152

Spread0.01Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.36229229
0.35130359
0.1540399
0.1220419
0.0630449
0.0341490
0.0258548
0.01321869

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.64229229
0.65130359
0.8540399
0.8820419
0.9430449
0.9741490
0.9858548
0.99321869

Spread0.01Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.63431431
0.621,1501,581
0.61781,659
0.42231,682
0.41301,712
0.40251,737
0.34951,832
0.33401,872
0.281001,972
0.27302,002
0.265002,502
0.206503,152

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ooopsYes499.98
viniiYes79.72
eme10Yes61.62
LornaPredictsYes59.44
GuyFromTinderYes50.01
AJSVYes30
pootytherewardfarmerYes25
ZinfandelEnjoyerYes23.63
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes15
Pola3tstYes9.37
pol5lonYes9
pmlpYes9
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes1.23
BelgaronNo400
0xa5ef…2966No194.66
Mithrandir.No100
HerrieDavisNo90
BrokemakerNo47
HaradwaithNo40
0x1bbc…58cbNo1.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:23:30BUYYes0.3120$6.20
13:13:15SELLYes0.4140$16.40
18:48:10BUYNo0.58999997872$1.11
18:48:09SELLYes0.412$0.74
09:49:27SELLNo0.5810$5.79
06:06:25SELLNo0.7610$7.60
06:04:06SELLNo0.7720$15.40
04:54:55BUYYes0.2620$5.20
04:54:54SELLYes0.2745$12.15
04:05:58SELLYes0.2920$5.80
03:24:25BUYYes0.3110$3.10
11:22:12BUYNo0.8599999141$1.00
04:27:09SELLNo0.8420$16.80
04:17:04SELLNo0.8420$16.80
04:14:49BUYYes0.1140$4.40
04:11:57SELLYes0.0910$0.90
14:29:42SELLYes0.10850$5.40
08:43:00SELLYes0.1220$2.40
17:06:42SELLYes0.0420$0.80
13:09:24BUYNo0.8720$17.40
19:28:00SELLYes0.220$4.00
00:57:04SELLYes0.176$1.09
18:24:19BUYYes0.151$0.18
16:06:54SELLNo0.859$7.45
05:08:55BUYYes0.110$1.00