pmlp
0xc3a263872e00ccb02ca18e4b14e070db6399d0bd
- Realised P&L
- $-112.79
- Volume
- $199.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,798
- Open portfolio
- $57.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,798
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.05at 0.110Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$47.99at 0.040Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$32.64at 0.040Solana Up or Down - March 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$32.64at 0.040Solana Up or Down - March 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$32.63at 0.040XRP Up or Down - March 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 08-02 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-02 08:43 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.99 |
| 07-31 17:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 07-31 15:54 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 07-31 15:44 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.19 |
| 07-31 15:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.58 |
| 07-30 13:56 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.30 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 07-29 04:12 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in July? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.23 |
| 07-28 22:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-27 15:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 20:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.15 |
| 07-26 20:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.594 | $2.97 |
| 07-26 20:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.66 |