PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pmlp

0xc3a263872e00ccb02ca18e4b14e070db6399d0bd

Realised P&L
$-193.72
Volume
$200.3k
Markets traded
1,844
Open portfolio
$31.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,844
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 18:55Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?SELL0.31$4.65
10-15 14:09Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 in October?SELL0.17$4.76
09-27 07:47Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.974$4.87
09-12 05:42Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?SELL0.989$6.53
08-27 07:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.33$1.98
08-26 18:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$1.98
08-25 16:40Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.41$2.05
08-25 00:49Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?SELL0.15$0.90
08-24 12:52Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.098$0.49
08-24 12:52Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$0.81
08-24 06:34Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$1.86
08-22 04:04Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?SELL0.488$2.44
08-20 23:38NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.062$0.31
08-20 14:02NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$2.62
08-19 21:14Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?SELL0.418$2.09