pmlp
0xc3a263872e00ccb02ca18e4b14e070db6399d0bd
- Realised P&L
- $-193.72
- Volume
- $200.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,844
- Open portfolio
- $31.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,844
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.05at 0.110Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$47.99at 0.040Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$32.64at 0.040Solana Up or Down - March 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$32.63at 0.040XRP Up or Down - March 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$32.63at 0.040Solana Up or Down - March 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:55 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 10-15 14:09 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 in October? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.76 |
| 09-27 07:47 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 09-12 05:42 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.989 | $6.53 |
| 08-27 07:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 08-26 18:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 08-25 16:40 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-25 00:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.90 |
| 08-24 12:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.098 | $0.49 |
| 08-24 12:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.81 |
| 08-24 06:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 08-22 04:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.488 | $2.44 |
| 08-20 23:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.31 |
| 08-20 14:02 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.62 |
| 08-19 21:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.418 | $2.09 |