0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
- Realised P&L
- $-70.7k
- Volume
- $1.98M
- Markets traded
- 1,299
- Open portfolio
- $186.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,299
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.748Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.803Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$2.8kat 0.921Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$2.8kat 0.887Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.779Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:50 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 11-01 13:47 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.6k |
| 10-31 13:49 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-30 23:23 | Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.9472785 | $189.46 |
| 10-30 22:47 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $352.00 |
| 10-30 22:39 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-30 22:39 | Will AP call US Senate control by November 13, 11:59 PM? | BUY | 0.8260930233 | $177.61 |
| 10-30 21:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $284.00 |
| 10-30 20:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 10-30 13:24 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 10-28 04:37 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $203.32 |
| 10-28 04:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.67 | $268.00 |
| 10-28 04:34 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 10-28 04:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 10-28 04:29 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.67 | $536.00 |