Brokemaker
0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4
- Realised P&L
- $-9.8k
- Volume
- $554.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,545
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,545
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$592.01at 0.445Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$355.62at 0.420Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
- +$354.20at 0.080Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$325.81at 0.380Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$305.21at 0.190Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:50 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-17 22:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.62 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.19 |
| 09-17 19:26 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in September? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-17 19:14 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.201 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 18:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.48 |
| 09-17 14:57 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $18.04 |
| 09-17 13:36 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 09-17 12:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 11:05 | Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $9.88 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.45 |
| 09-17 10:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 09:32 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.73 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.36 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.66 |