PolyBot

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Traders

Brokemaker

0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$554.1k
Markets traded
3,545
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,545
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8330.920$198.81+$18.83
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9290.945$139.63+$2.38
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9400.965$137.60+$3.53
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8620.941$130.96+$11.05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8330.895$129.78+$8.94
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5400.875$116.81+$44.78
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9250.981$106.87+$6.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$104.38+$0.63
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8820.945$103.00+$6.86
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8570.895$100.24+$4.21
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.8700.855$98.33$1.67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8140.905$97.74+$9.80
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4450.595$94.61+$23.82
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8570.983$87.71+$11.23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8030.945$85.05+$12.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:50Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
09-17 22:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.33$4.62
09-17 22:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.19$0.19
09-17 19:26Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in September?SELL0.67$3.35
09-17 19:14Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.201$1.01
09-17 18:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.77$0.48
09-17 14:57Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.82$18.04
09-17 13:36Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.82$5.74
09-17 12:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?SELL0.001$0.07
09-17 11:05Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.76$9.88
09-17 10:57Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.83$12.45
09-17 10:14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.67$1.94
09-17 09:32Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.014$0.73
09-17 08:07Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.18$0.36
09-17 08:07Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.19$2.66