PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Brokemaker

0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4

Realised P&L
$-10.5k
Volume
$565.2k
Markets traded
3,577
Open portfolio
$7.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,577
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.2650.180$6.70−$3.17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? · Yes0.2300.070$1.13−$2.54
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0330.001$0.03−$1.63
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.4430.001$0.01−$7.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 02:25Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?SELL0.85$1.70
09-30 20:11RFK Jr. Out by December 31?SELL0.16$0.05
09-30 03:25Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?SELL0.76$3.25
09-29 04:58Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$0.02
09-27 23:29Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?SELL0.967$0.39
09-27 00:49Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.966$1.60
09-26 21:23Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$0.44
09-26 04:13Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$0.00
09-25 19:23Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.09$0.25
09-25 11:04Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.966$0.89
09-24 21:15Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?SELL0.21$0.53
09-24 07:37Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.91$3.33
09-24 03:06Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.028$0.01
09-23 22:25Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.14$0.42
09-23 17:37Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?SELL0.929$2.71