PolyBot

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Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.072. up 0.011 over the period, from 0.061. Range 0.042 to 0.075. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11099
0.111918
0.150927
0.262142169
0.2635174
0.265100274
0.569135409
0.570100509
0.57630539
0.59040579
0.888100679
0.88950729

Spread0.075Mid0.073

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0351010
0.0296575
0.0281085
0.024590
0.023110200
0.02279279
0.021133412
0.0201,0001,412
0.018101,422
0.012201,442
0.011201,462
0.010301,492

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9651010
0.9716575
0.9721085
0.976590
0.977110200
0.97879279
0.979133412
0.9801,0001,412
0.982101,422
0.988201,442
0.989201,462
0.990301,492

Spread0.075Mid0.927

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89099
0.889918
0.850927
0.738142169
0.7375174
0.735100274
0.431135409
0.430100509
0.42430539
0.41040579
0.112100679
0.11150729

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
387411007415611814092217897387Yes327.37
CongoleseKevinWarshYes241.76
xiaoaojiangYes215
EdgeOfChaosYes199.99
k1ngslayerYes178.81
thursdaysYes169.42
BSS37Yes163.74
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes141.9
2B9SYes125
Biver52Yes100
AJSVYes99.39
rmnrbshjioYes92
0x56a8…eea2Yes79.88
MartinaCandombeYes76
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes70
akunaiYes68.95
cry.eth2Yes63.93
jennylulu2016Yes62
winproYes61.13
boryambaYes60.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:58:19SELLYes0.0491$0.03
17:28:54SELLYes0.0493$0.14
15:44:01SELLYes0.0491$0.03
15:43:06SELLYes0.0496$0.29
16:03:55BUYNo0.97510$9.75
09:55:07BUYYes0.0446019938134$6.00
00:38:21BUYYes0.024069213772$1.74
21:39:54BUYNo0.9728$7.78
21:39:54BUYNo0.97199999779$8.29
21:39:54BUYNo0.971204470685$82.55
21:39:54BUYNo0.97216$16.02
21:39:54BUYNo0.97211$10.69
20:24:22BUYNo0.97530$29.25
20:24:22BUYNo0.97510$9.75
20:24:22BUYNo0.974365$4.87
20:24:22BUYNo0.9745$4.87
19:15:28BUYNo0.89615$13.44
13:03:21BUYYes0.116107$12.36
13:02:49SELLNo0.8848308458137$120.94
09:28:13BUYYes0.1135$0.57
09:10:45BUYYes0.1145$0.57
09:08:34BUYYes0.1145$0.57
09:08:25BUYYes0.1145$0.57
09:08:21BUYYes0.1145$0.57
09:08:13BUYYes0.1145$0.57