winpro
0x5464e877e516e74cfc1f6c5926f16f498dd1dbab
- Realised P&L
- $30.70
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $10.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.068 | $4.63 | +$2.63 |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.023 | $2.30 | −$7.70 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.038 | $2.17 | −$9.83 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.017 | $1.04 | −$13.96 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.023 | $0.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.65at 0.034Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?
- +$45.64at 0.489Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$20.22at 0.090Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$6.91at 0.110Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?
- +$5.87at 0.630Texans vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 19:46 | Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 03-01 19:45 | Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 09:17 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 09:13 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.00 |
| 01-30 23:24 | Will Trump say "Financial World" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 01-30 23:24 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 01-30 23:24 | Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.077999966 | $2.00 |
| 01-30 23:23 | Will Trump say "Federal Reserve" 4+ times during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 06:18 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.30 |
| 01-20 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 01-19 06:04 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.15 |
| 01-19 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 01-19 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-19 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.16 |
| 01-19 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0258101539 | $0.96 |