PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

winpro

0x5464e877e516e74cfc1f6c5926f16f498dd1dbab

Realised P&L
$30.70
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$10.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0290.068$4.63+$2.63
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? · Yes0.1000.023$2.30$7.70
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2100.038$2.17$9.83
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? · Yes0.2450.017$1.04$13.96
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1400.023$0.33$1.67
Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$7.00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 19:46Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.16$2.00
03-01 19:45Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?BUY0.15$3.00
01-31 09:17Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?BUY0.6$1.00
01-31 09:13Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0120000001$2.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Financial World" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.016$1.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.016$1.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.077999966$2.00
01-30 23:23Will Trump say "Federal Reserve" 4+ times during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
01-20 06:18Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY0.1$1.30
01-20 06:17Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?SELL0.001$0.50
01-19 06:04Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.1$1.15
01-19 06:03Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?SELL0.08$1.16
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?SELL0.0258101539$0.96