PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

winpro

0x5464e877e516e74cfc1f6c5926f16f498dd1dbab

Realised P&L
$28.77
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$7.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? · Yes0.2450.058$3.55$11.45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2100.029$1.63$10.37
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0290.017$1.13$0.87
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? · Yes0.1000.010$1.00$9.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1400.021$0.31$1.69
Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$7.00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 19:46Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.16$2.00
03-01 19:45Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?BUY0.15$3.00
01-31 09:17Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?BUY0.6$1.00
01-31 09:13Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0120000001$2.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Financial World" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.016$1.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.016$1.00
01-30 23:24Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.077999966$2.00
01-30 23:23Will Trump say "Federal Reserve" 4+ times during Fed chair announcement?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
01-20 06:18Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY0.1$1.30
01-20 06:17Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?SELL0.001$0.50
01-19 06:04Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.1$1.15
01-19 06:03Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?SELL0.08$1.16
01-19 05:59Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?SELL0.0258101539$0.96