Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.018. Range 0.018 to 0.025. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	390	390
0.030	107	497
0.050	90	587
0.060	68	655
0.070	10	665
0.080	51	716
0.090	95	811
0.190	38	849
0.200	20	869
0.245	5	874
0.250	30	903
0.299	10	913

Spread0.008Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	30	30
0.016	107	137
0.014	72	209
0.013	51	259
0.010	500	759
0.006	52	811
0.005	88	899
0.004	222	1,121
0.003	47	1,168
0.002	375	1,543
0.001	2,901	4,444

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	30	30
0.984	107	137
0.986	72	209
0.987	51	259
0.990	500	759
0.994	52	811
0.995	88	899
0.996	222	1,121
0.997	47	1,168
0.998	375	1,543
0.999	2,901	4,444

Spread0.008Mid0.979

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	390	390
0.970	107	497
0.950	90	587
0.940	68	655
0.930	10	665
0.920	51	716
0.910	95	811
0.810	38	849
0.800	20	869
0.755	5	874
0.750	30	903
0.701	10	913

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Glued	Yes	649.99
xlefgerx	Yes	554.85
42m	Yes	511.54
JenniferJones8193	Yes	457
LornaPredicts	Yes	323.31
AMAM13	Yes	250
danteme	Yes	220.27
xiaoaojiang	Yes	215
babydogebox	Yes	213
AlyssaSullivan5359	Yes	213
KathyLawson7301	Yes	213
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	165
0x44d3…f4ff	Yes	161.83
swapbox	Yes	156
2B9S	Yes	116.43
0x774f…8779	Yes	111
ShMonat	Yes	107.51
Dpadog	Yes	96.08
0x56a8…eea2	Yes	90
Crazykekbr	Yes	80.03

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:58:19	SELL	No	0.975	7	$6.38
17:28:55	SELL	Yes	0.024	3	$0.07
14:44:01	SELL	Yes	0.024	1	$0.01
06:27:48	SELL	No	0.975	1	$0.97
01:41:13	SELL	No	0.9751427857	280	$273.18
16:03:55	BUY	No	0.993	10	$9.93
06:58:45	SELL	No	0.9813232076	228	$224.19
17:50:25	SELL	No	0.972	5	$5.01
17:44:54	BUY	No	0.97	88	$85.17
14:43:19	SELL	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
22:44:49	SELL	Yes	0.03	7	$0.21
21:39:54	BUY	No	0.9699999696	25	$24.26
21:39:54	BUY	No	0.97	11	$10.67
21:39:54	BUY	No	0.97	8	$7.76
21:39:54	BUY	No	0.97	85	$82.45
21:24:58	SELL	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
20:24:22	BUY	No	0.97	30	$29.10
20:24:22	BUY	No	0.97	5	$4.85
20:24:22	BUY	No	0.97	5	$4.85
20:24:22	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
09:28:13	BUY	Yes	0.031	5	$0.15
09:10:46	BUY	Yes	0.031	5	$0.15
09:08:34	BUY	Yes	0.031	5	$0.15
09:08:25	BUY	Yes	0.031	5	$0.15
09:08:21	BUY	Yes	0.031	5	$0.15